Luca Van Assche and Pablo Carreno Busta meet in the round of 16 at Estoril on Wednesday. Pablo Carreno Busta comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Luca Van Assche has won 8 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Luca Van Assche, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Pablo Carreno Busta.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Busta comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Busta — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.