Tennis picks and UFC predictions, graded in public
Maiden is a sports prediction site that posts a pick for every tennis match and UFC fight, then grades every one in public — winners and losers stay on the record. No deleted misses, no cherry-picked highlight reel: a receipt on every call.
The edge: we can't hide our losers
Every “expert” looks sharp when they only show you the winners. We took that option off the table. Before a ball is served or a cage door closes, we lock in a pick. After the result, it gets marked right or wrong — and it stays up either way, wrong ones with a red badge.
That’s the whole pitch. Anyone can tweet a winner after the fact. We keep a public track record of every call we’ve ever made, so you can judge us on all of it — not the three we’d screenshot. That’s the difference between a receipt and a brag.
Who will win — and how
Two sports are live today, tennis and UFC, and cricket is on the way. Each gets a model built for how that sport actually plays out.
Tennis picks
We rate every player on how well they actually play — kept separate by surface, because a clay grinder and a grass-court server aren’t the same threat. The gap between two players becomes a win probability for their next match, tuned for the quirk that makes tennis tricky: you can win more points than your opponent and still lose. See today’s tennis picks.
UFC predictions
For every fight we start from where the sharpest money already is, then add our own read on how the fight actually ends — KO/TKO, submission, or decision. So you don’t just get a winner, you get the way it’s most likely to get there. See today’s UFC predictions.
The percentages are graded, not promised
A number only means something if it’s honest. So every percentage we publish gets checked against what actually happened, and the whole thing lives on the record — the confidence levels where we nail it, and the ones where we’ve run hot. (UFC picks are graded in public going forward.) That’s the difference between a number you can build a read on and one you just have to take on faith.
We publish predictions, not bets. No units, no “lock of the day,” no telling you how much to put down. If you play, play within your limits — the picks are here to sharpen your read, not to chase.
Frequently asked questions
- How do you make your picks?
- Every pick comes from a model, not a hunch. In tennis we rate players on how they actually perform, surface by surface; in UFC we start from the sharpest read on the fight, then add our own model for how it ends — KO, submission, or decision. Every number gets graded against the real result afterward.
- Do you actually track your record?
- Yes. Every pick is frozen before the event and graded against the real result on our public track record — wins and losses. Misses stay up with a red mark. Nothing gets deleted or edited after the fact.
- What sports do you cover?
- Tennis and UFC are live now, with a pick for every match and every fight on the card. Cricket is coming next.
- How often are picks posted?
- Daily for tennis — fresh picks go up for each day's matches. For UFC, a full slate of predictions lands ahead of every event, main card to prelims.
- Do you tell me who to bet?
- No. Maiden publishes predictions, not betting advice. We don't tell you what to stake and we don't promise profit. We give you our read on who wins and how — you make your own call.
- Do you win every pick?
- No, and we'd never claim to — nobody wins them all. What we promise is honesty: every percentage we publish is graded against the real result on our public track record, so you can see exactly how our picks at each confidence level have actually held up. UFC picks are graded in public going forward.
Ready to look? Start with today’s tennis picks and today’s UFC predictions, check the track record to see how we’ve done, or head back to the front page.