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Wimbledon predictions, July 9, 2026: Gauff vs. Muchova, Noskova vs. Kostyuk

By The Maiden Desk · July 9, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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2 matches are on Thursday's card at Wimbledon, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Coco Gauff against Karolina Muchova in the semifinal. Our calls: Muchova over Gauff, Noskova over Kostyuk. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

Yesterday’s results: 4-0

July 8, 2026 card →
  • ✓ Pick rightNoskova at 65% won 6-3 7-5 — exact score called
  • ✓ Pick rightKostyuk at 58% won 6-3 6-2 — exact score called
  • ✓ Pick rightZverev at 52% won 6-4 6-4 6-2 — exact score called
  • ✓ Pick rightFery at 54% won 6-4 7-6 6-0

3 exact set-score calls · Every pick graded in public — the full ledger lives on the track record.

Coco Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova

Thursday's Wimbledon semifinal pits Coco Gauff against Karolina Muchova on grass. Karolina Muchova is rolling — 10 straight wins, 10 of 10 in recent play. Coco Gauff is rolling — 7 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.

Coco Gauff has had the better of this rivalry, winning 8 of 10 against Karolina Muchova. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Muchova — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on grass, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Muchova is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Muchova

Win probability: 55% Muchova · Most likely score: 2-0 (34%)

Linda Noskova vs. Marta Kostyuk

Linda Noskova and Marta Kostyuk meet in the semifinal at Wimbledon on Thursday. Linda Noskova has won 5 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Marta Kostyuk brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten.

Marta Kostyuk has had the better of this rivalry, winning 2 of 2 against Linda Noskova.

Hold strength tells the story — 69.4% versus 64.1% on first-serve points in Noskova's favor. Little separates them; Noskova gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Noskova

Win probability: 56% Noskova · Most likely score: 2-0 (32%) · Could go long: 45% chance of a full three sets

Updated Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.

Also on today's slate

Our record to date: 61.4% over 544 graded picks · full track record.

Previous days

Every past article stays up, graded and unedited. That's the point.