Thursday's Wimbledon semifinal pits Coco Gauff against Karolina Muchova on grass. Karolina Muchova is rolling — 10 straight wins, 10 of 10 in recent play. Coco Gauff is rolling — 7 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.
Coco Gauff has had the better of this rivalry, winning 8 of 10 against Karolina Muchova. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Muchova — worth more than the overall number this week.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on grass, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Muchova is exactly that — a lean.