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Shanghai & Beijing predictions, October 10, 2026: Andreeva vs Bartunkova, Mertens vs Zheng

By The Maiden Desk · October 10, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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18 matches are on Saturday's card at Shanghai and Beijing, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Mirra Andreeva against Nikola Bartunkova in the semifinal. Our calls: Alcaraz over Cerundolo, Vacherot over Baez.

October 8, 2026 results: 22-18 → how our picks graded, match by match.

Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola Bartunkova

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Mirra Andreeva goes up against Nikola Bartunkova in the Beijing semifinal. Mirra Andreeva has won 4 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Nikola Bartunkova is rolling — 4 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.

Elise Mertens vs Qinwen Zheng

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Elise Mertens and Qinwen Zheng meet in the semifinal at Beijing on Saturday. Qinwen Zheng is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Elise Mertens has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

Alex Michelsen vs Botic Van De Zandschulp

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Alex Michelsen against Botic Van De Zandschulp on hard. Alex Michelsen limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Botic Van De Zandschulp has won 6 of the last 10.

Rafael Jodar vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Rafael Jodar against Thiago Agustin Tirante on hard. Rafael Jodar has won 6 of the last 10. Thiago Agustin Tirante comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Jiri Lehecka against Nuno Borges on hard. Jiri Lehecka has won 8 of the last 10. Nuno Borges comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Pick: Alcaraz

Win probability: 83% Alcaraz · Market: -1247 · We call it in 2 sets (68%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (59%)

Carlos Alcaraz and Juan Manuel Cerundolo meet in the round of 64 at Shanghai on Saturday. Carlos Alcaraz has won 5 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won 5 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Cerundolo needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Arthur Fils vs Pavel Kotov

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Arthur Fils against Pavel Kotov on hard. Arthur Fils has won 8 of the last 10. Pavel Kotov is 8-2 across recent matches.

Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Luciano Darderi against Stefanos Tsitsipas on hard. Stefanos Tsitsipas comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Luciano Darderi has won 5 of the last 10.

Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot

Pick: Vacherot

Win probability: 67% Vacherot · Market: -260 · We call it in 3 sets (42%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (40%)

Sebastian Baez and Valentin Vacherot meet in the round of 64 at Shanghai on Saturday. Valentin Vacherot comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Sebastian Baez is 5-5 across recent matches.

Vacherot's 72.5% behind the first serve (against 64.6% for Baez) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Vacherot — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Casper Ruud vs Y. Bu

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Casper Ruud against Y. Bu on hard. Casper Ruud is 5-5 across recent matches. Y. Bu has won 6 of the last 10.

Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Alejandro Tabilo goes up against Pablo Carreno Busta in the Shanghai round of 64. Alejandro Tabilo comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-6 across recent matches.

Daniel Vallejo vs Tommy Paul

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Daniel Vallejo and Tommy Paul meet in the round of 64 at Shanghai on Saturday. Tommy Paul limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Daniel Vallejo is 5-5 across recent matches.

Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Ignacio Buse and Zizou Bergs meet in the round of 64 at Shanghai on Saturday. Zizou Bergs has won 5 of the last 10. Ignacio Buse limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 7 wins in 10.

Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Dalibor Svrcina against Tomas Martin Etcheverry on hard. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10). Dalibor Svrcina has won 3 of the last 10.

Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Learner Tien against Zachary Svajda on hard. Learner Tien is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Zachary Svajda is 4-6 across recent matches.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Matteo Arnaldi and Taylor Fritz meet in the round of 64 at Shanghai on Saturday. Taylor Fritz is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (5 of the last 10). Matteo Arnaldi has won 4 of the last 10.

Daniil Medvedev vs Jan Lennard Struff

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Daniil Medvedev against Jan Lennard Struff on hard. Daniil Medvedev brings a 7-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Jan Lennard Struff is 5-5 across recent matches.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger Aliassime

This pick is Pro until the match is played, then it goes public, graded, like every pick we publish. Pro opens the whole board.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Felix Auger Aliassime meet in the round of 64 at Shanghai on Saturday. Felix Auger Aliassime comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Camilo Ugo Carabelli comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

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Updated Oct 9, 2026, 2:01 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.

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