It all comes down to Sunday at Washington, where Rafael Jodar faces Taylor Fritz for the trophy. Taylor Fritz has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Rafael Jodar is rolling — 3 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.
The serve is where this match separates: Fritz has been winning 74.6% of first-serve points to Jodar's 69.2%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Jodar arrives with very little recovery time; Fritz comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Fritz.