Monday's Washington round of 32 pits Lorenzo Musetti against Matteo Arnaldi on hard. Lorenzo Musetti has won 6 of the last 10. Matteo Arnaldi has won 6 of the last 10.
The ledger favors Lorenzo Musetti, 3-0 across their 3 meetings with Matteo Arnaldi. On hard specifically it reads 1-0 Musetti — worth more than the overall number this week.
Lorenzo Musetti is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Musetti around 69%. Musetti should have enough here, though Arnaldi has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.