Merab Dvalishvili and Henry Cejudo share the cage in the bout of UFC 320. Henry Cejudo is our side at 61%; Dvalishvili keeps it from being a formality. The method math points to decision most often (83%), and we put the chance it reaches all five rounds at 83%. We're going against our own ratings, which prefer Dvalishvili; the Cejudo pick is an upset call.
Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo — preview and prediction
Maiden picks Henry Cejudo (61%) by decision over Merab Dvalishvili — an upset call against the ratings.
Pick: Cejudo · Win probability 61% Cejudo
Method of victory
Most likely: decision 83% · KO/TKO 9% · submission 8%
- decision
- 83%
- KO/TKO
- 9%
- submission
- 8%
We put the chance this fight reaches a decision at 83% — otherwise it ends inside five rounds. Every method call is graded against the real result after the fight.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Merab Dvalishvili vs Henry Cejudo?
- Maiden picks Henry Cejudo at 61% to beat Merab Dvalishvili in the bout at UFC 320. It's an upset call — our own ratings lean the other way.
- Will Merab Dvalishvili vs Henry Cejudo go the distance?
- We put the chance this fight reaches a decision at 83% — the other 17% of the time it ends inside all five rounds.
- How does Henry Cejudo beat Merab Dvalishvili?
- The likeliest ending is decision. Full method split: decision 83%, KO/TKO 9%, submission 8%. These are explicit probabilities, graded in public after the fight.
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Maiden publishes predictions, not bets — every pick and method call is graded in public after the fight, wins and misses both.