UFC 320 puts Max Holloway across the cage from Conor McGregor in the bout. We make Max Holloway a 67% pick, though McGregor carries the tools to flip it. How it ends matters as much as who wins: decision is the single likeliest finish (58%), with a 58% chance of going all five rounds.
Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor — preview and prediction
Maiden picks Max Holloway (67%) by decision over Conor McGregor.
Pick: Holloway · Win probability 67% Holloway
Method of victory
Most likely: decision 58% · KO/TKO 34% · submission 8%
- decision
- 58%
- KO/TKO
- 34%
- submission
- 8%
We put the chance this fight reaches a decision at 58% — otherwise it ends inside five rounds. Every method call is graded against the real result after the fight.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor?
- Maiden picks Max Holloway at 67% to beat Conor McGregor in the bout at UFC 320.
- Will Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor go the distance?
- We put the chance this fight reaches a decision at 58% — the other 42% of the time it ends inside all five rounds.
- How does Max Holloway beat Conor McGregor?
- The likeliest ending is decision. Full method split: decision 58%, KO/TKO 34%, submission 8%. These are explicit probabilities, graded in public after the fight.
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Maiden publishes predictions, not bets — every pick and method call is graded in public after the fight, wins and misses both.