UFC 320 puts Cody Durden across the cage from Alessandro Costa in the bout. Our number leans Alessandro Costa at 69%, with Durden the live side of a bout that is closer than the marquee suggests. The method math points to decision most often (55%), and we put the chance it reaches all three rounds at 55%.
Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa — preview and prediction
Maiden picks Alessandro Costa (69%) by decision over Cody Durden.
Pick: Costa · Win probability 69% Costa
Method of victory
Most likely: decision 55% · KO/TKO 26% · submission 19%
- decision
- 55%
- KO/TKO
- 26%
- submission
- 19%
We put the chance this fight reaches a decision at 55% — otherwise it ends inside three rounds. Every method call is graded against the real result after the fight.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Cody Durden vs Alessandro Costa?
- Maiden picks Alessandro Costa at 69% to beat Cody Durden in the bout at UFC 320.
- Will Cody Durden vs Alessandro Costa go the distance?
- We put the chance this fight reaches a decision at 55% — the other 45% of the time it ends inside all three rounds.
- How does Alessandro Costa beat Cody Durden?
- The likeliest ending is decision. Full method split: decision 55%, KO/TKO 26%, submission 19%. These are explicit probabilities, graded in public after the fight.
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Maiden publishes predictions, not bets — every pick and method call is graded in public after the fight, wins and misses both.