Maiden Gameplan
College Football · Week 10, 2026
Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Tulane Green Wave
Kickoff
72%
Tulane Green Wave, 72% to win. We project them by 9.6.
Tulane Green Wave at home. This number was frozen before kickoff, and it is the one that gets graded.
9.6
48.4
70-75%
The scenario grid
Numbers are the percent chance Tulane Green Wave win the game. Find the clock column and the score row; that cell is the model's live read. It starts at kickoff with the published 72%.
| Tulane Green Wave | Kickoff | End Q1 | Half | End Q3 | 8:00 Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up 14 | 93 | 95 | 98 | 100 | |
| Up 10 | 89 | 90 | 94 | 97 | |
| Up 7 | 84 | 85 | 88 | 92 | |
| Up 3 | 77 | 75 | 75 | 76 | |
| Tied | 72 | 70 | 66 | 62 | 59 |
| Down 3 | 62 | 56 | 47 | 39 | |
| Down 7 | 51 | 42 | 29 | 17 | |
| Down 10 | 42 | 33 | 17 | 7 | |
| Down 14 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 |
Cells shade green as the call strengthens and red as it weakens; the outline marks 25 or more points from the published 72%, where the pre-game read no longer applies.
The 8:00 Q4 column is the model's curve between the validated quarter marks, not a directly measured state.
States that change the read
The 72% assumes the game we forecast. These are the scores where that stops being true.
- Down 10 at the end of Q1, this call falls to 42% and the pre-game read no longer applies.
- Up 14 at the end of Q3, this call reaches 98%: closer to settled than to the forecast game.
From 14 up to 3 down at the half, this is still the game we forecast.
The record behind the number
309-90 on graded college football picks (77%).