College Football (CFB) Predictions
Our pick and chance to win for every college football game we cover, with our projected margin and total. We skip any game we can't call above 55%.
This week’s preview
Best College Football Games, Week 10, 2026
The 5 biggest games of Week 10, with our win probability on every one we have a number on — and a straight answer on the one we do not.
3 previewed with a prediction · 2 we have no call on
Our 2026 national championship board
Three picks, published before the season and left alone: the team our model makes the favorite, a contender it rates higher than the consensus does, and a longshot worth naming. 3 still open.
- Ohio State BuckeyesMaiden gives Ohio State Buckeyes a 16% shot at the 2026 national title: our highest-rated team in the country.
- Indiana HoosiersMaiden gives Indiana Hoosiers a 5% shot at the 2026 national title: our pick from a crowded second tier.
- Tennessee VolunteersMaiden gives Tennessee Volunteers a 2% shot at the 2026 national title: a genuine longshot.
Maiden’s CFB predictions, explained
What does Maiden publish for a CFB game?
For every game we cover, the model produces a win probability for each side, a projected spread, and a projected total. What gets gradedis the win probability. The spread and the total are published as context and nothing more — and the spread is ours, not a bookmaker’s.
Why isn't every college football game covered?
We only publish a game where our number clears 55%. Below that our own testing cannot separate the model from a coin flip, and a call we cannot stand behind is not worth the line it would occupy. That means some weeks we say nothing about a game everyone else has an opinion on.
Does Maiden publish odds, prices, or units?
We publish our own projected spread and total on every game we cover, and where we have a licensed market number we show it beside ours, labelled as the market's: our probability against the market's, so you can see where we disagree and by how much. What we still never publish is a stake, or how much to risk, and we recommend nothing to back. Only the win probability is graded, and it is graded whether it wins or loses. Nothing here is betting advice.
How are the CFB predictions graded?
Every college football call is graded after the game against the official result, in the same public track record as the tennis, UFC, cricket and NFL picks.