College football predictions
Maiden publishes a win probability for the college football games it covers — which side, how likely, and a projected margin and total for context — then grades every call in public. No units, no locks, no deleted misses.
Our 2026 national championship board
Three picks, published before the season and left alone: the team our model makes the favorite, a contender it rates higher than the consensus does, and a longshot worth naming. 3 still open.
- Ohio State BuckeyesMaiden gives Ohio State Buckeyes a 16% shot at the 2026 national title — our highest-rated team in the country.
- Indiana HoosiersMaiden gives Indiana Hoosiers a 5% shot at the 2026 national title — our pick from a crowded second tier.
- Tennessee VolunteersMaiden gives Tennessee Volunteers a 2% shot at the 2026 national title — a genuine longshot.
What Maiden publishes for college football
For every game we cover, the model produces a win probability for each side, a projected margin, and a projected total. What gets graded is the win probability. The margin and the total are published as context and nothing more.
We only publish a game where our number clears 55%. Below that our own testing cannot separate the model from a coin flip, and a call we cannot stand behind is not worth the line it would occupy. That means some weeks we say nothing about a game everyone else has an opinion on.
What never gets published is a price, a stake, or a unit. We show our own numbers and the record they produced; sportsbook and exchange prices are theirs to display, not ours to republish. Nothing here is betting advice.
Every college football call is graded after the game and stays up whether it won or lost, in the same public track record as the tennis, UFC and cricket picks.