NFL Fantasy Football Rankings & Projections — Week 5, 2026

Weekly projections for every startable quarterback, running back, wide receiver and tight end, in standard, half-PPR and full-PPR scoring — the full board, open, and graded against actual points the week after it publishes.

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197 of 197 players

Quarterbacks, Week 5, 2026 (42 players)

Quarterbacks fantasy projections for Week 5, 2026, ranked by projected half-PPR points.
Rk	Player	Game	Std	Half-PPR	PPR	Range
1	Josh AllenBills	at Rams	22.1	22.1	22.2	12.0–33.0
2	Jared GoffLions	at Cardinals	20.4	20.4	20.4	10.5–31.0
3	Matthew StaffordRams	vs Bills	19.6	19.6	19.6	9.8–30.1
4	Dak PrescottCowboys	vs Buccaneers	19.2	19.2	19.2	9.5–29.7
4	Joe BurrowBengals	at Dolphins	17.3	17.3	17.3	7.8–27.5
5	Brock Purdy49ers	at Seahawks	17.0	17.0	17.0	7.5–27.1
6	Tyler ShoughSaints	vs Vikings	16.9	16.9	16.9	7.4–27.1
7	Jacoby BrissettCardinals	vs Lions	16.8	16.8	16.8	7.4–27.0
8	Drake MayePatriots	vs Raiders	16.1	16.1	16.1	6.8–26.2
9	Jordan LovePackers	vs Bears	15.4	15.4	15.4	6.1–25.3
10	Kirk CousinsRaiders	at Patriots	15.4	15.4	15.4	6.1–25.3
11	Caleb WilliamsBears	at Packers	15.2	15.2	15.2	5.9–25.1
12	Aaron RodgersSteelers	vs Colts	15.2	15.2	15.2	5.9–25.1
13	Deshaun WatsonBrowns	at Jets	14.9	14.9	14.9	5.7–24.8
14	C.J. StroudTexans	at Titans	14.7	14.7	14.7	5.5–24.5
15	Jayden DanielsCommanders	vs Giants	14.4	14.4	14.4	5.2–24.2
16	Bo NixBroncos	at Chargers	14.3	14.3	14.3	5.2–24.1
17	Lamar JacksonRavens	at Falcons	13.6	13.6	13.6	4.6–23.4
18	Jalen HurtsEagles	at Jaguars	13.5	13.5	13.5	4.5–23.2
19	Trevor LawrenceJaguars	vs Eagles	13.4	13.4	13.4	4.3–23.0
20	Kyler MurrayVikings	at Saints	13.1	13.1	13.1	4.1–22.7
21	Daniel JonesColts	at Steelers	12.9	12.9	12.9	3.9–22.5
23	Tua TagovailoaFalcons	vs Ravens	12.7	12.7	12.7	3.8–22.3
24	Justin HerbertChargers	vs Broncos	12.7	12.7	12.7	3.7–22.2
27	Geno SmithJets	vs Browns	12.1	12.1	12.1	3.2–21.6
28	J.J. McCarthyGiants	at Commanders	12.0	12.0	12.0	3.2–21.5
30	Sam DarnoldSeahawks	vs 49ers	11.4	11.4	11.4	2.6–20.8
31	Malik WillisDolphins	vs Bengals	11.4	11.4	11.4	2.6–20.8
36	Cam WardTitans	vs Texans	10.6	10.6	10.6	1.9–19.9
—	Tyrod TaylorPackersBackup	vs Bears	—	—	—	—
—	Joe FlaccoBengalsBackup	at Dolphins	—	—	—	—
—	Quinn EwersJaguarsBackup	vs Eagles	—	—	—	—
—	Spencer RattlerSaintsBackup	vs Vikings	—	—	—	—
—	Michael Penix Jr.FalconsBackup	vs Ravens	—	—	—	—
—	Davis MillsTexansBackup	at Titans	—	—	—	—
—	Jaxson DartGiantsBackup	at Commanders	—	—	—	—
—	Brady CookDolphinsBackup	vs Bengals	—	—	—	—
—	Carson WentzVikingsBackup	at Saints	—	—	—	—
—	Marcus MariotaCommandersBackup	vs Giants	—	—	—	—
—	Mac Jones49ersBackup	at Seahawks	—	—	—	—
—	Shedeur SandersBrownsBackup	at Jets	—	—	—	—
—	Baker MayfieldBuccaneersOut	at Cowboys	—	—	—	—

Each call, in one sentence(23)

Our projection has Josh Allen at 22.1 half-PPR points at the Rams in Week 5, 2026, our QB1.
Our projection has Jared Goff at 20.4 half-PPR points at the Cardinals in Week 5, 2026, our QB2.
Our projection has Matthew Stafford at 19.6 half-PPR points against the Bills in Week 5, 2026, our QB3.
Our projection has Dak Prescott at 19.2 half-PPR points against the Buccaneers in Week 5, 2026, our QB4.
Our projection has Joe Burrow at 17.3 half-PPR points at the Dolphins in Week 5, 2026, our QB4.
Our projection has Brock Purdy at 17.0 half-PPR points at the Seahawks in Week 5, 2026, our QB5.
Our projection has Tyler Shough at 16.9 half-PPR points against the Vikings in Week 5, 2026, our QB6.
Our projection has Jacoby Brissett at 16.8 half-PPR points against the Lions in Week 5, 2026, our QB7.
Our projection has Drake Maye at 16.1 half-PPR points against the Raiders in Week 5, 2026, our QB8.
Our projection has Jordan Love at 15.4 half-PPR points against the Bears in Week 5, 2026, our QB9.
Tyrod Taylor is listed as a backup for the Packers in Week 5, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Joe Flacco is listed as a backup for the Bengals in Week 5, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Quinn Ewers is listed as a backup for the Jaguars in Week 5, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Spencer Rattler is listed as a backup for the Saints in Week 5, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Michael Penix Jr. is listed as a backup for the Falcons in Week 5, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Davis Mills is listed as a backup for the Texans in Week 5, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Jaxson Dart is listed as a backup for the Giants in Week 5, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Brady Cook is listed as a backup for the Dolphins in Week 5, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Carson Wentz is listed as a backup for the Vikings in Week 5, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Marcus Mariota is listed as a backup for the Commanders in Week 5, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Mac Jones is listed as a backup for the 49ers in Week 5, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Shedeur Sanders is listed as a backup for the Browns in Week 5, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Baker Mayfield is ruled out for Week 5, 2026 at the Cowboys. No projection publishes for a player who is not expected to play.

Running Backs, Week 5, 2026 (56 players)

Running Backs fantasy projections for Week 5, 2026, ranked by projected half-PPR points.
Rk	Player	Game	Std	Half-PPR	PPR	Range
1	Jahmyr GibbsLions	at Cardinals	21.1	23.6	26.0	12.6–38.0
2	Bijan RobinsonFalcons	vs Ravens	18.8	20.4	22.1	10.3–33.8
3	Jonathan TaylorColts	at Steelers	17.2	18.6	19.9	8.9–31.3
4	Kyren WilliamsRams	vs Bills	16.2	18.4	20.5	8.8–31.0
5	Javonte WilliamsCowboys	vs Buccaneers	16.1	17.6	19.1	8.2–30.1
5	Derrick HenryRavens	at Falcons	16.1	16.8	17.5	7.6–28.9
6	Aaron JonesVikings	at Saints	15.3	16.7	18.1	7.5–28.8
7	Jaylen WarrenSteelers	vs Colts	15.0	16.6	18.3	7.4–28.7
8	Ashton JeantyRaiders	at Patriots	14.5	16.6	18.6	7.4–28.6
9	Christian McCaffrey49ers	at Seahawks	14.0	16.2	18.3	7.1–28.1
10	Chase BrownBengals	at Dolphins	13.7	16.0	18.2	7.0–27.9
11	James CookBills	at Rams	13.9	14.8	15.7	6.1–26.3
12	D'Andre SwiftBears	at Packers	12.5	13.6	14.7	5.2–24.7
13	Breece HallJets	vs Browns	12.0	13.2	14.5	4.9–24.2
14	Cam SkatteboGiants	at Commanders	11.6	12.6	13.7	4.5–23.4
15	Kyle MonangaiBears	at Packers	11.5	12.1	12.7	4.1–22.6
16	Quinshon JudkinsBrowns	at Jets	10.4	11.8	13.3	3.9–22.3
17	Bhayshul TutenJaguars	vs Eagles	10.9	11.6	12.4	3.8–22.1
18	Jeremiyah LoveCardinals	vs Lions	10.2	11.4	12.6	3.6–21.7
19	Rhamondre StevensonPatriots	vs Raiders	9.6	11.0	12.3	3.3–21.1
20	Bucky IrvingBuccaneers	at Cowboys	9.9	11.3	12.6	3.5–21.5
20	Josh JacobsPackers	vs Bears	9.8	10.9	12.0	3.2–21.1
21	Emanuel WilsonSeahawks	vs 49ers	9.6	10.2	10.8	2.7–20.1
22	Tony PollardTitans	vs Texans	9.0	10.1	11.1	2.6–19.9
23	Jordan MasonVikings	at Saints	9.5	9.9	10.4	2.5–19.8
24	De'Von AchaneDolphins	vs Bengals	8.2	9.8	11.3	2.4–19.5
25	Isiah PachecoLions	at Cardinals	8.8	9.7	10.6	2.3–19.4
26	Jacory Croskey-MerrittCommanders	vs Giants	8.8	9.5	10.2	2.2–19.2
27	David MontgomeryTexans	at Titans	8.7	9.5	10.2	2.1–19.1
28	Travis EtienneSaints	vs Vikings	8.0	9.4	10.7	2.1–19.0
29	Zach CharbonnetSeahawks	vs 49ers	8.5	9.3	10.1	2.0–18.9
30	Trey BensonCardinals	vs Lions	7.9	9.2	10.6	2.0–18.8
31	TreVeyon HendersonPatriots	vs Raiders	8.4	9.1	9.8	1.9–18.6
32	Omarion HamptonChargers	vs Broncos	8.2	9.0	9.8	1.8–18.5
33	RJ HarveyBroncos	at Chargers	6.5	8.7	10.8	1.5–18.1
34	Rico DowdleSteelers	vs Colts	7.4	8.6	9.8	1.5–18.0
35	J.K. DobbinsBroncos	at Chargers	7.9	8.4	9.0	1.4–17.7
36	Braelon AllenJets	vs Browns	7.4	8.1	8.7	1.1–17.3
37	Alvin KamaraSaints	vs Vikings	6.5	8.1	9.7	1.1–17.2
38	Michael CarterTitans	vs Texans	6.5	7.7	8.9	0.8–16.8
39	Rachaad WhiteCommanders	vs Giants	6.4	7.5	8.7	0.7–16.6
40	Brian RobinsonFalcons	vs Ravens	7.0	7.4	7.8	0.6–16.3
41	MarShawn LloydPackers	vs Bears	5.2	6.3	7.5	0.0–14.9
42	Woody MarksTexans	at Titans	5.4	6.2	7.1	0.0–14.8
43	Keaton MitchellChargers	vs Broncos	5.2	6.2	7.2	0.0–14.7
44	Tyler AllgeierCardinals	vs Lions	5.2	6.1	7.0	0.0–14.6
45	Saquon BarkleyEagles	at Jaguars	5.1	5.8	6.6	0.0–14.3
46	Devin SingletaryGiants	at Commanders	4.1	4.9	5.7	0.0–13.1
47	Blake CorumRams	vs Bills	4.2	4.9	5.5	0.0–13.0
47	Jaylen WrightDolphins	vs Bengals	2.1	2.4	2.8	0.0–9.7
48	Kenny GainwellBuccaneers	at Cowboys	3.7	5.0	6.3	0.0–13.2
48	Tyjae SpearsTitans	vs Texans	2.8	3.7	4.5	0.0–11.4
49	Chris Rodriguez Jr.Jaguars	vs Eagles	3.3	3.5	3.7	0.0–11.1
50	Tank BigsbyEagles	at Jaguars	3.0	3.4	3.9	0.0–11.1
51	Kaelon Black49ers	at Seahawks	2.8	3.3	3.8	0.0–10.9
52	Kimani VidalChargers	vs Broncos	2.3	3.1	3.9	0.0–10.6

Each call, in one sentence(10)

Our projection has Jahmyr Gibbs at 23.6 half-PPR points at the Cardinals in Week 5, 2026, our RB1.
Our projection has Bijan Robinson at 20.4 half-PPR points against the Ravens in Week 5, 2026, our RB2.
Our projection has Jonathan Taylor at 18.6 half-PPR points at the Steelers in Week 5, 2026, our RB3.
Our projection has Kyren Williams at 18.4 half-PPR points against the Bills in Week 5, 2026, our RB4.
Our projection has Javonte Williams at 17.6 half-PPR points against the Buccaneers in Week 5, 2026, our RB5.
Our projection has Derrick Henry at 16.8 half-PPR points at the Falcons in Week 5, 2026, our RB5.
Our projection has Aaron Jones at 16.7 half-PPR points at the Saints in Week 5, 2026, our RB6.
Our projection has Jaylen Warren at 16.6 half-PPR points against the Colts in Week 5, 2026, our RB7.
Our projection has Ashton Jeanty at 16.6 half-PPR points at the Patriots in Week 5, 2026, our RB8.
Our projection has Christian McCaffrey at 16.2 half-PPR points at the Seahawks in Week 5, 2026, our RB9.

Wide Receivers, Week 5, 2026 (67 players)

Wide Receivers fantasy projections for Week 5, 2026, ranked by projected half-PPR points.
Rk	Player	Game	Std	Half-PPR	PPR	Range
1	CeeDee LambCowboys	vs Buccaneers	15.2	19.0	22.9	9.2–32.4
1	Amon-Ra St. BrownLions	at Cardinals	14.2	18.0	21.7	8.4–30.9
2	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSeahawks	vs 49ers	13.4	16.9	20.4	7.6–29.4
3	Puka NacuaRams	vs Bills	12.2	15.7	19.2	6.8–27.8
4	Chris OlaveSaints	vs Vikings	11.6	15.3	18.9	6.5–27.2
5	Michael WilsonCardinals	vs Lions	11.8	15.0	18.1	6.2–26.7
6	Davante AdamsRams	vs Bills	12.0	14.9	17.8	6.2–26.7
7	Tee HigginsBengals	at Dolphins	11.2	14.2	17.1	5.7–25.7
8	DK MetcalfSteelers	vs Colts	9.2	11.4	13.7	3.7–21.9
9	Christian WatsonPackers	vs Bears	8.9	11.1	13.3	3.4–21.4
10	George PickensCowboys	vs Buccaneers	9.1	11.3	13.5	3.6–21.7
10	Ja'Marr ChaseBengals	at Dolphins	8.4	11.1	13.7	3.4–21.4
11	Matthew GoldenPackers	vs Bears	8.6	10.9	13.2	3.3–21.1
12	DeVonta SmithEagles	at Jaguars	8.1	10.9	13.7	3.3–21.1
13	Garrett WilsonJets	vs Browns	8.4	10.9	13.3	3.3–21.1
14	Drake LondonFalcons	vs Ravens	8.5	10.8	13.1	3.2–21.0
15	Nico CollinsTexans	at Titans	8.1	10.7	13.4	3.2–20.9
16	Jameson WilliamsLions	at Cardinals	8.8	10.7	12.7	3.2–20.9
17	Stefon DiggsCommanders	vs Giants	7.5	10.0	12.5	2.6–19.8
18	Devaughn VeleSaints	vs Vikings	7.5	9.9	12.2	2.6–19.7
19	Carnell TateTitans	vs Texans	7.2	9.8	12.4	2.5–19.6
20	Terry McLaurinCommanders	vs Giants	7.1	9.4	11.7	2.2–19.1
21	Jaylen WaddleBroncos	at Chargers	6.9	9.1	11.3	2.0–18.7
22	Parker WashingtonJaguars	vs Eagles	7.2	9.1	11.1	2.0–18.7
23	Denzel BostonBrowns	at Jets	7.2	9.0	10.9	2.0–18.6
24	Luther Burden IIIBears	at Packers	6.5	8.8	11.1	1.8–18.3
25	KC ConcepcionBrowns	at Jets	6.5	8.8	11.0	1.8–18.2
26	Zay FlowersRavens	at Falcons	6.2	8.7	11.3	1.8–18.2
27	Khalil ShakirBills	at Rams	6.6	8.7	10.8	1.8–18.1
28	Malik NabersGiants	at Commanders	6.5	8.7	10.9	1.8–18.1
29	Jordan AddisonVikings	at Saints	6.9	8.6	10.4	1.7–18.0
30	Rome OdunzeBears	at Packers	6.6	8.3	10.0	1.5–17.6
31	Josh DownsColts	at Steelers	6.1	8.3	10.5	1.4–17.5
32	Mike Evans49ers	at Seahawks	6.1	8.1	10.1	1.3–17.3
33	Malik WashingtonDolphins	vs Bengals	5.8	7.9	10.1	1.2–17.1
34	Emeka EgbukaBuccaneers	at Cowboys	6.3	8.1	9.9	1.3–17.3
34	Keenan AllenColts	at Steelers	5.5	7.8	10.2	1.1–16.9
35	A.J. BrownPatriots	vs Raiders	5.8	7.8	9.8	1.1–16.9
36	Justin JeffersonVikings	at Saints	5.6	7.6	9.7	1.0–16.6
37	Romeo DoubsPatriots	vs Raiders	5.9	7.6	9.3	1.0–16.6
38	Deebo Samuel Sr.49ers	at Seahawks	5.9	7.6	9.2	0.9–16.5
39	Courtland SuttonBroncos	at Chargers	5.8	7.5	9.2	0.9–16.5
40	Tre TuckerRaiders	at Patriots	5.5	7.3	9.2	0.8–16.2
41	Jakobi MeyersJaguars	vs Eagles	5.7	7.3	9.0	0.8–16.2
42	Kalif RaymondBears	at Packers	5.2	7.1	9.0	0.6–15.9
43	Wan'Dale RobinsonTitans	vs Texans	4.7	6.9	9.1	0.4–15.6
44	Dontayvion WicksEagles	at Jaguars	5.2	6.8	8.3	0.4–15.4
45	Ryan FlournoyCowboys	vs Buccaneers	5.5	7.3	9.1	0.7–16.1
45	DJ MooreBills	at Rams	5.0	6.6	8.2	0.2–15.2
46	Ricky Pearsall49ers	at Seahawks	4.4	6.4	8.5	0.1–15.0
47	Chris Godwin Jr.Buccaneers	at Cowboys	5.1	6.9	8.8	0.5–15.7
47	Mack HollinsPatriots	vs Raiders	4.7	6.4	8.0	0.1–14.9
48	Tre HarrisChargers	vs Broncos	4.7	6.3	7.9	0.0–14.8
49	Quentin JohnstonChargers	vs Broncos	4.6	6.1	7.5	0.0–14.5
50	Michael PittmanSteelers	vs Colts	4.3	6.0	7.7	0.0–14.4
51	Ladd McConkeyChargers	vs Broncos	4.2	5.8	7.5	0.0–14.2
52	Roman WilsonSteelers	vs Colts	4.1	5.8	7.5	0.0–14.1
53	Marvin Harrison Jr.Cardinals	vs Lions	4.5	5.6	6.8	0.0–13.8
54	Xavier HutchinsonTexans	at Titans	3.8	5.5	7.1	0.0–13.7
55	Rashid ShaheedSeahawks	vs 49ers	3.7	5.0	6.3	0.0–13.0
56	Alec PierceColts	at Steelers	3.7	5.0	6.2	0.0–13.0
57	Brian Thomas Jr.Jaguars	vs Eagles	3.4	4.7	6.0	0.0–12.6
58	Jauan JenningsVikings	at Saints	2.9	3.9	4.9	0.0–11.5
59	Elic AyomanorTitans	vs Texans	2.8	3.7	4.7	0.0–11.3
60	Jerry JeudyBrowns	at Jets	1.6	2.8	4.0	0.0–10.0
61	Calvin RidleyTitans	vs Texans	0.6	1.5	2.5	0.0–8.2
62	Troy FranklinBroncos	at Chargers	0.4	1.4	2.4	0.0–8.0

Each call, in one sentence(10)

Our projection has CeeDee Lamb at 19.0 half-PPR points against the Buccaneers in Week 5, 2026, our WR1.
Our projection has Amon-Ra St. Brown at 18.0 half-PPR points at the Cardinals in Week 5, 2026, our WR1.
Our projection has Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 16.9 half-PPR points against the 49ers in Week 5, 2026, our WR2.
Our projection has Puka Nacua at 15.7 half-PPR points against the Bills in Week 5, 2026, our WR3.
Our projection has Chris Olave at 15.3 half-PPR points against the Vikings in Week 5, 2026, our WR4.
Our projection has Michael Wilson at 15.0 half-PPR points against the Lions in Week 5, 2026, our WR5.
Our projection has Davante Adams at 14.9 half-PPR points against the Bills in Week 5, 2026, our WR6.
Our projection has Tee Higgins at 14.2 half-PPR points at the Dolphins in Week 5, 2026, our WR7.
Our projection has DK Metcalf at 11.4 half-PPR points against the Colts in Week 5, 2026, our WR8.
Our projection has Christian Watson at 11.1 half-PPR points against the Bears in Week 5, 2026, our WR9.

Tight Ends, Week 5, 2026 (32 players)

Tight Ends fantasy projections for Week 5, 2026, ranked by projected half-PPR points.
Rk	Player	Game	Std	Half-PPR	PPR	Range
1	Trey McBrideCardinals	vs Lions	11.0	14.7	18.4	6.1–26.4
2	Sam LaPortaLions	at Cardinals	9.2	11.8	14.4	4.4–22.0
3	Brock BowersRaiders	at Patriots	8.5	11.7	14.9	4.3–21.9
4	George Kittle49ers	at Seahawks	7.8	9.8	11.9	3.1–19.0
5	Isaiah LikelyGiants	at Commanders	6.6	9.2	11.7	2.8–18.0
6	Tyler WarrenColts	at Steelers	6.5	8.8	11.2	2.5–17.4
7	Tucker KraftPackers	vs Bears	6.3	8.4	10.4	2.3–16.7
8	Juwan JohnsonSaints	vs Vikings	6.1	8.4	10.7	2.3–16.7
9	T.J. HockensonVikings	at Saints	6.1	8.3	10.6	2.2–16.7
10	Harold Fannin Jr.Browns	at Jets	5.8	7.9	9.9	2.0–16.0
11	Michael MayerRaiders	at Patriots	5.5	7.6	9.6	1.8–15.5
12	Cade OttonBuccaneers	at Cowboys	5.3	7.3	9.2	1.6–15.1
12	Dalton SchultzTexans	at Titans	4.9	7.2	9.4	1.5–14.9
13	Brenton StrangeJaguars	vs Eagles	5.4	7.1	8.9	1.5–14.9
14	Colston LovelandBears	at Packers	4.9	6.6	8.2	1.1–14.0
15	Dalton KincaidBills	at Rams	4.8	6.5	8.2	1.1–13.8
16	Mark AndrewsRavens	at Falcons	4.4	6.3	8.3	1.0–13.6
17	AJ BarnerSeahawks	vs 49ers	4.7	6.1	7.6	0.9–13.3
18	Pat FreiermuthSteelers	vs Colts	4.4	6.1	7.8	0.9–13.2
19	Jake Tonges49ers	at Seahawks	4.3	6.0	7.8	0.8–13.2
20	Kenyon SadiqJets	vs Browns	4.1	5.8	7.5	0.7–12.8
21	Jake FergusonCowboys	vs Buccaneers	4.4	6.0	7.6	0.8–13.1
21	Chig OkonkwoCommanders	vs Giants	3.8	5.3	6.9	0.4–12.1
22	Hunter HenryPatriots	vs Raiders	3.7	5.2	6.7	0.3–11.9
23	Dallas GoedertEagles	at Jaguars	3.5	5.1	6.7	0.3–11.7
24	Mason TaylorJets	vs Browns	3.5	5.1	6.6	0.2–11.7
25	David NjokuChargers	vs Broncos	3.4	4.9	6.4	0.1–11.4
26	Oronde Gadsden IIChargers	vs Broncos	2.8	4.3	5.8	0.0–10.5
27	Evan EngramBroncos	at Chargers	2.7	4.0	5.3	0.0–10.0
28	Kyle PittsFalcons	vs Ravens	2.2	3.3	4.4	0.0–9.0
29	Colby ParkinsonRams	vs Bills	2.0	3.0	4.1	0.0–8.6
30	Theo JohnsonGiants	at Commanders	0.2	1.4	2.5	0.0–6.0

Each call, in one sentence(10)

Our projection has Trey McBride at 14.7 half-PPR points against the Lions in Week 5, 2026, our TE1.
Our projection has Sam LaPorta at 11.8 half-PPR points at the Cardinals in Week 5, 2026, our TE2.
Our projection has Brock Bowers at 11.7 half-PPR points at the Patriots in Week 5, 2026, our TE3.
Our projection has George Kittle at 9.8 half-PPR points at the Seahawks in Week 5, 2026, our TE4.
Our projection has Isaiah Likely at 9.2 half-PPR points at the Commanders in Week 5, 2026, our TE5.
Our projection has Tyler Warren at 8.8 half-PPR points at the Steelers in Week 5, 2026, our TE6.
Our projection has Tucker Kraft at 8.4 half-PPR points against the Bears in Week 5, 2026, our TE7.
Our projection has Juwan Johnson at 8.4 half-PPR points against the Vikings in Week 5, 2026, our TE8.
Our projection has T.J. Hockenson at 8.3 half-PPR points at the Saints in Week 5, 2026, our TE9.
Our projection has Harold Fannin Jr. at 7.9 half-PPR points at the Jets in Week 5, 2026, our TE10.

Start or sit: compare two players

Pick the two you are torn between. The gap is our projection’s, and the rows underneath are the components that produce it. Free, like every number on this board.

Player APlayer BScoring

Our projection has Josh Allen ahead by 1.7 Half-PPR points, 22.1 to 20.4.

Josh Allen compared with Jared Goff, Half-PPR scoring.
	Josh Allen	Jared Goff	Gap
Projected Half-PPR	22.1	20.4	1.7
Range (floor–ceiling)	12–33	10.5–31	—
Positional rank	QB1	QB2	—
This week	at Rams	at Cardinals	—
Pass yards	234.2	331.2	-97
Rush yards	36.8	6	30.8
Carries	6.5	2.3	4.2
Pass TDs	1.5	2.2	-0.7
Rush TDs	0.7	0.1	0.6
Interceptions	0.8	1	-0.2

Components are the projection’s own expected stat line, not last week’s box score. Both numbers assume the player takes the field: the model does not forecast whether he is active, which is why the injury row is there and why a player ruled out carries a status instead of a number.

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How these projections work

Projections are our own model's output: recent role and usage, shrunk efficiency rates, and the game's scoring environment. The range beside each number is modeled, not a fixed band: the 10th to 90th percentile of that player's outcomes for the week, fit from how projections like his have actually landed. Every projection is graded against actual fantasy points the week after it publishes. Every number is conditional on the player playing: a player ruled out carries his status instead of a projection, and a player who takes no offensive snap is excluded from the record rather than counted as a zero. One snap is enough to be graded — a player who was on the field is scored on what he actually did, including nothing at all. Nothing here is betting advice.

Kickers and team defenses are not on the board yet — the model projects the four positions where snaps and usage separate startable players. Team defenses are planned to join around Week 4, kickers later in the season, and both appear here first when they do.