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Week 3 ·

Akron Zips at Minnesota Golden Gophers — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Minnesota Golden Gophers 41, Akron Zips 7

Our pick landed: Minnesota Golden Gophers won 41-7. We had them at 89%.

Minnesota Golden Gophers, 89% to win. We project them by 20.9.

The numbers

Our pickMinnesota Golden Gophers
Chance they win89%
Our projected spread (Minnesota Golden Gophers)-20.9
Our projected score (Minnesota Golden Gophers first)35-14
Projected total48.8
Our picks at 85% to 90% confidence33-5 (87%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Minnesota Golden Gophers)-23
Total49.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 13, 2026, 3:04 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Akron vs Minnesota?
Minnesota Golden Gophers won 41-7. Maiden picked Minnesota Golden Gophers at 89% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
Picks we've made between 85% to 90% have won 33 of 38 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Akron vs Minnesota win probability come from?
We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Minnesota Golden Gophers hosting Akron Zips. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?
No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.