Who won Charlotte vs App State?

App State Mountaineers won 26-21. Maiden picked App State Mountaineers at 84% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 80% to 85% have won 40 of 46 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Charlotte vs App State win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with App State Mountaineers hosting Charlotte 49ers. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC

Charlotte 49ers at App State Mountaineers — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

App State Mountaineers 26, Charlotte 49ers 21

Our pick landed: App State Mountaineers won 26-21. We had them at 84%.

App State Mountaineers, 84% to win. We project them by 16.8.

The numbers

Our pick	App State Mountaineers
Chance they win	84%
Our projected spread (App State Mountaineers)	-16.8
Our projected score (App State Mountaineers first)	36-19
Projected total	54.9
Our picks at 80% to 85% confidence	40-6 (87%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (App State Mountaineers)	-17.5
Total	52.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 13, 2026, 3:04 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Charlotte vs App State?: App State Mountaineers won 26-21. Maiden picked App State Mountaineers at 84% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 80% to 85% have won 40 of 46 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Charlotte vs App State win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with App State Mountaineers hosting Charlotte 49ers. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.