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Week 3 ·

Florida International Panthers at Florida Atlantic Owls — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Florida Atlantic Owls 16, Florida International Panthers 10

Our pick landed: Florida Atlantic Owls won 16-10. We had them at 57%.

Florida Atlantic Owls, 57% to win. We project them by 3.1.

The numbers

Our pickFlorida Atlantic Owls
Chance they win57%
Our projected spread (Florida Atlantic Owls)-3.1
Our projected score (Florida Atlantic Owls first)32-29
Projected total60.5
Our picks at 55% to 60% confidence32-16 (67%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Florida Atlantic Owls)-6.5
Total62

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 13, 2026, 3:04 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Florida International vs Florida Atlantic?
Florida Atlantic Owls won 16-10. Maiden picked Florida Atlantic Owls at 57% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
Picks we've made between 55% to 60% have won 32 of 48 college football games, 67%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Florida International vs Florida Atlantic win probability come from?
We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Florida Atlantic Owls hosting Florida International Panthers. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?
No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.