Miami Hurricanes at Wake Forest Demon Deacons — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightMiami Hurricanes 33, Wake Forest Demon Deacons 20
Our pick landed: Miami Hurricanes won 33-20. We had them at 83%.
Miami Hurricanes, 83% to win. We project them by 16.1.
The numbers
| Our pick | Miami Hurricanes |
| Chance they win | 83% |
| Our projected spread (Miami Hurricanes) | -16.1 |
| Our projected score (Miami Hurricanes first) | 35-19 |
| Projected total | 54.2 |
The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (Miami Hurricanes) | -20.5 |
| Total | 55.5 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Other picks on the Week 3, 2026 board
- Houston Cougars at Texas Tech Red RaidersFri, Sep 18 · Texas Tech Red Raiders, 81% to win
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Delaware Blue HensSat, Sep 19 · Delaware Blue Hens, 60% to win
- Buffalo Bulls at Penn State Nittany LionsSat, Sep 19 · Our pick: on the game page
- Kent State Golden Flashes at Ohio State BuckeyesSat, Sep 19 · Our pick: on the game page
- Akron Zips at Minnesota Golden GophersSat, Sep 19 · Our pick: on the game page
- North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson TigersSat, Sep 19 · Our pick: on the game page
- Bowling Green Falcons at Iowa State CyclonesSat, Sep 19 · Our pick: on the game page
- Tulane Green Wave at Kansas State WildcatsSat, Sep 19 · Our pick: on the game page
Prediction published Sep 13, 2026, 3:04 PM UTC
Tomorrow's board, before kickoff
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, football included, published before anything starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Frequently asked questions
- Who won Miami vs Wake Forest?
- Miami Hurricanes won 33-20. Maiden picked Miami Hurricanes at 83% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- Where does the Miami vs Wake Forest win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Wake Forest Demon Deacons hosting Miami Hurricanes. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.