Who won New Mexico vs Oklahoma?

Oklahoma Sooners won 14-6. Maiden picked Oklahoma Sooners at 91% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 90% to 95% have won 31 of 33 college football games, 94%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the New Mexico vs Oklahoma win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Oklahoma Sooners hosting New Mexico Lobos. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC

New Mexico Lobos at Oklahoma Sooners — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Oklahoma Sooners 14, New Mexico Lobos 6

Our pick landed: Oklahoma Sooners won 14-6. We had them at 91%.

Oklahoma Sooners, 91% to win. We project them by 22.

The numbers

Our pick	Oklahoma Sooners
Chance they win	91%
Our projected spread (Oklahoma Sooners)	-22
Our projected score (Oklahoma Sooners first)	36-14
Projected total	49.5
Our picks at 90% to 95% confidence	31-2 (94%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Oklahoma Sooners)	-21.5
Total	45

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 13, 2026, 3:04 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won New Mexico vs Oklahoma?: Oklahoma Sooners won 14-6. Maiden picked Oklahoma Sooners at 91% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 90% to 95% have won 31 of 33 college football games, 94%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the New Mexico vs Oklahoma win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Oklahoma Sooners hosting New Mexico Lobos. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.