Who won North Dakota State vs Sacramento State?

North Dakota State Bison won 31-10. Maiden picked North Dakota State Bison at 80% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 75% to 80% have won 29 of 36 college football games, 81%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the North Dakota State vs Sacramento State win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Sacramento State Hornets hosting North Dakota State Bison. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 3 · Sep 20, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC

North Dakota State Bison at Sacramento State Hornets — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

North Dakota State Bison 31, Sacramento State Hornets 10

Our pick landed: North Dakota State Bison won 31-10. We had them at 80%.

North Dakota State Bison, 80% to win. We project them by 14.

The numbers

Our pick	North Dakota State Bison
Chance they win	80%
Our projected spread (North Dakota State Bison)	-14
Our projected score (North Dakota State Bison first)	33-19
Projected total	51.9
Our picks at 75% to 80% confidence	29-7 (81%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (North Dakota State Bison)	-27
Total	50.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 13, 2026, 3:04 PM UTC · Updated Sep 13, 2026, 3:05 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won North Dakota State vs Sacramento State?: North Dakota State Bison won 31-10. Maiden picked North Dakota State Bison at 80% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 75% to 80% have won 29 of 36 college football games, 81%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the North Dakota State vs Sacramento State win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Sacramento State Hornets hosting North Dakota State Bison. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.