Who won North Texas vs Tulsa?

North Texas Mean Green won 45-44. Maiden picked North Texas Mean Green at 75% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 70% to 75% have won 38 of 54 college football games, 70%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the North Texas vs Tulsa win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Tulsa Golden Hurricane hosting North Texas Mean Green. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 5 · Oct 2, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC

North Texas Mean Green at Tulsa Golden Hurricane — result and pick review

Share result

Result

✓ Pick right

North Texas Mean Green 45, Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44

Our pick landed: North Texas Mean Green won 45-44. We had them at 75%.

North Texas Mean Green, 75% to win. We project them by 11.2.

The numbers

Our pick	North Texas Mean Green
Chance they win	75%
Our projected spread (North Texas Mean Green)	-11.2
Our projected score (North Texas Mean Green first)	36-25
Projected total	60.2
Our picks at 70% to 75% confidence	38-16 (70%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (North Texas Mean Green)	-2.5
Total	56.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 27, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

Tomorrow's free picks, by email

One email each morning with the day's free picks, before the games start. Our free beginner's guide comes with it. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently asked questions

Who won North Texas vs Tulsa?: North Texas Mean Green won 45-44. Maiden picked North Texas Mean Green at 75% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 70% to 75% have won 38 of 54 college football games, 70%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the North Texas vs Tulsa win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Tulsa Golden Hurricane hosting North Texas Mean Green. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.