Who won Utah State vs Utah?

Utah Utes won 33-0. Maiden picked Utah Utes at 96% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 95% to 100% have won 30 of 31 college football games, 97%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Utah State vs Utah win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Utah Utes hosting Utah State Aggies. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC

Utah State Aggies at Utah Utes — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Utah Utes 33, Utah State Aggies 0

Our pick landed: Utah Utes won 33-0. We had them at 96%.

Utah Utes, 96% to win. We project them by 29.6.

The numbers

Our pick	Utah Utes
Chance they win	96%
Our projected spread (Utah Utes)	-29.6
Our projected score (Utah Utes first)	44-14
Projected total	58
Our picks at 95% to 100% confidence	30-1 (97%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Utah Utes)	-27.5
Total	56.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 13, 2026, 3:04 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Utah State vs Utah?: Utah Utes won 33-0. Maiden picked Utah Utes at 96% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 95% to 100% have won 30 of 31 college football games, 97%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Utah State vs Utah win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Utah Utes hosting Utah State Aggies. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.