Who won West Virginia vs Iowa State?

Iowa State Cyclones won 45-42. Maiden picked Iowa State Cyclones at 80% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 75% to 80% have won 29 of 36 college football games, 81%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the West Virginia vs Iowa State win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Iowa State Cyclones hosting West Virginia Mountaineers. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

West Virginia Mountaineers at Iowa State Cyclones — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Iowa State Cyclones 45, West Virginia Mountaineers 42

Our pick landed: Iowa State Cyclones won 45-42. We had them at 80%.

Iowa State Cyclones, 80% to win. We project them by 14.

The numbers

Our pick	Iowa State Cyclones
Chance they win	80%
Our projected spread (Iowa State Cyclones)	-14
Our projected score (Iowa State Cyclones first)	33-19
Projected total	52.8
Our picks at 75% to 80% confidence	29-7 (81%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Iowa State Cyclones)	-3
Total	53

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 27, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won West Virginia vs Iowa State?: Iowa State Cyclones won 45-42. Maiden picked Iowa State Cyclones at 80% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 75% to 80% have won 29 of 36 college football games, 81%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the West Virginia vs Iowa State win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Iowa State Cyclones hosting West Virginia Mountaineers. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.