NFL Fantasy Football Rankings & Projections — Week 2, 2026

Weekly projections for every startable quarterback, running back, wide receiver and tight end, in standard, half-PPR and full-PPR scoring — the full board, open, and graded against actual points the week after it publishes.

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180 of 180 players

Quarterbacks, Week 2, 2026 (43 players)

Quarterbacks fantasy projections for Week 2, 2026, ranked by projected points, identical in all three scoring formats.
Rk	Player	Game	Pts	Range
1	Josh AllenBills	vs Lions	20.7	10.7–31.3
1	Brock Purdy49ers	vs Dolphins	19.1	9.4–29.6
2	Caleb WilliamsBears	vs Vikings	17.6	8.0–27.8
3	Patrick MahomesChiefs	vs Colts	17.5	7.9–27.7
4	Tyler ShoughSaints	at Ravens	17.2	7.7–27.3
5	Dak PrescottCowboys	vs Commanders	17.0	7.5–27.2
6	Drake MayePatriots	vs Steelers	16.8	7.4–27.0
7	Jared GoffLions	at Bills	16.8	7.4–27.0
7	Jayden DanielsCommanders	at Cowboys	16.7	7.3–26.9
8	Lamar JacksonRavens	vs Saints	16.6	7.1–26.7
9	Jaxson DartGiants	at Rams	16.3	6.9–26.4
11	Jordan LovePackers	at Jets	15.8	6.4–25.8
12	C.J. StroudTexans	vs Bengals	15.7	6.4–25.7
13	Jalen HurtsEagles	at Titans	15.6	6.3–25.5
14	Joe BurrowBengals	at Texans	15.0	5.8–24.9
16	Justin HerbertChargers	vs Raiders	14.8	5.6–24.7
17	Baker MayfieldBuccaneers	vs Browns	14.1	5.0–23.9
18	Bo NixBroncos	vs Jaguars	13.9	4.8–23.6
19	Matthew StaffordRams	vs Giants	13.8	4.7–23.6
20	Bryce YoungPanthers	at Falcons	13.6	4.5–23.3
21	J.J. McCarthyVikings	at Bears	13.5	4.4–23.2
24	Jacoby BrissettCardinals	vs Seahawks	13.0	4.0–22.7
25	Aaron RodgersSteelers	at Patriots	12.9	4.0–22.5
27	Michael Penix Jr.Falcons	vs Panthers	12.7	3.7–22.3
28	Trevor LawrenceJaguars	at Broncos	12.6	3.6–22.1
29	Geno SmithJets	vs Packers	12.4	3.5–22.0
30	Daniel JonesColts	at Chiefs	12.4	3.5–22.0
36	Kirk CousinsRaiders	at Chargers	11.9	3.1–21.4
37	Shedeur SandersBrowns	at Buccaneers	11.0	2.3–20.4
39	Brady CookDolphins	at 49ers	10.6	1.9–19.9
40	Cam WardTitans	vs Eagles	10.4	1.7–19.6
41	Sam DarnoldSeahawks	at Cardinals	7.0	0.0–15.8
—	Justin FieldsChiefsBackup	vs Colts	—	—
—	Marcus MariotaCommandersBackup	at Cowboys	—	—
—	Mac Jones49ersBackup	vs Dolphins	—	—
—	Tyrod TaylorPackersBackup	at Jets	—	—
—	Davis MillsTexansBackup	vs Bengals	—	—
—	Joe FlaccoBengalsBackup	at Texans	—	—
—	Spencer RattlerSaintsBackup	at Ravens	—	—
—	Tua TagovailoaFalconsBackup	vs Panthers	—	—
—	Carson WentzVikingsBackup	at Bears	—	—
—	Quinn EwersJaguarsBackup	at Broncos	—	—
—	Kyler MurrayVikingsBackup	at Bears	—	—

Each call, in one sentence(21)

Our projection has Josh Allen at 20.7 half-PPR points against the Lions in Week 2, 2026, our QB1.
Our projection has Brock Purdy at 19.1 half-PPR points against the Dolphins in Week 2, 2026, our QB1.
Our projection has Caleb Williams at 17.6 half-PPR points against the Vikings in Week 2, 2026, our QB2.
Our projection has Patrick Mahomes at 17.5 half-PPR points against the Colts in Week 2, 2026, our QB3.
Our projection has Tyler Shough at 17.2 half-PPR points at the Ravens in Week 2, 2026, our QB4.
Our projection has Dak Prescott at 17.0 half-PPR points against the Commanders in Week 2, 2026, our QB5.
Our projection has Drake Maye at 16.8 half-PPR points against the Steelers in Week 2, 2026, our QB6.
Our projection has Jared Goff at 16.8 half-PPR points at the Bills in Week 2, 2026, our QB7.
Our projection has Jayden Daniels at 16.7 half-PPR points at the Cowboys in Week 2, 2026, our QB7.
Our projection has Lamar Jackson at 16.6 half-PPR points against the Saints in Week 2, 2026, our QB8.
Justin Fields is listed as a backup for the Chiefs in Week 2, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Marcus Mariota is listed as a backup for the Commanders in Week 2, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Mac Jones is listed as a backup for the 49ers in Week 2, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Tyrod Taylor is listed as a backup for the Packers in Week 2, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Davis Mills is listed as a backup for the Texans in Week 2, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Joe Flacco is listed as a backup for the Bengals in Week 2, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Spencer Rattler is listed as a backup for the Saints in Week 2, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Tua Tagovailoa is listed as a backup for the Falcons in Week 2, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Carson Wentz is listed as a backup for the Vikings in Week 2, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Quinn Ewers is listed as a backup for the Jaguars in Week 2, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.
Kyler Murray is listed as a backup for the Vikings in Week 2, 2026. Only the projected starter carries a startable number on our board.

Running Backs, Week 2, 2026 (52 players)

Running Backs fantasy projections for Week 2, 2026, ranked by projected half-PPR points.
Rk	Player	Game	Std	Half-PPR	PPR	Range
1	Jahmyr GibbsLions	at Bills	18.9	20.7	22.5	10.5–34.1
1	Bijan RobinsonFalcons	vs Panthers	15.7	18.2	20.7	8.6–30.8
2	Derrick HenryRavens	vs Saints	17.1	17.7	18.3	8.3–30.1
3	Kenneth Walker IIIChiefs	vs Colts	16.2	17.6	19.0	8.2–30.1
4	Christian McCaffrey49ers	vs Dolphins	14.5	17.1	19.7	7.8–29.3
5	Ashton JeantyRaiders	at Chargers	12.6	14.4	16.1	5.8–25.7
6	Rhamondre StevensonPatriots	vs Steelers	12.8	14.3	15.8	5.7–25.6
7	Chase BrownBengals	at Texans	11.9	13.8	15.7	5.4–24.9
8	Jonathan TaylorColts	at Chiefs	12.4	13.7	15.0	5.3–24.8
9	Breece HallJets	vs Packers	12.6	13.6	14.6	5.2–24.6
10	D'Andre SwiftBears	vs Vikings	12.6	13.5	14.4	5.2–24.6
11	David MontgomeryTexans	vs Bengals	12.0	13.0	14.0	4.8–23.9
12	James CookBills	vs Lions	12.3	13.5	14.7	5.1–24.5
12	Saquon BarkleyEagles	at Titans	12.0	12.9	13.9	4.7–23.8
13	Javonte WilliamsCowboys	vs Commanders	10.8	12.2	13.6	4.2–22.8
14	Bucky IrvingBuccaneers	vs Browns	10.3	12.1	13.9	4.1–22.6
15	Josh JacobsPackers	at Jets	10.6	11.7	12.9	3.8–22.2
16	Kyren WilliamsRams	vs Giants	10.5	11.6	12.7	3.7–21.9
17	Cam SkatteboGiants	at Rams	9.9	10.8	11.7	3.1–20.9
18	Omarion HamptonChargers	vs Raiders	9.7	10.6	11.5	3.0–20.6
19	De'Von AchaneDolphins	at 49ers	8.7	10.5	12.4	2.9–20.6
20	Travis EtienneSaints	at Ravens	8.6	10.5	12.4	2.9–20.5
21	TreVeyon HendersonPatriots	vs Steelers	9.3	10.3	11.3	2.8–20.3
22	Kimani VidalChargers	vs Raiders	9.1	10.0	10.8	2.5–19.8
23	Jaylen WarrenSteelers	at Patriots	8.3	9.8	11.4	2.4–19.6
24	Jacory Croskey-MerrittCommanders	at Cowboys	9.1	9.7	10.2	2.3–19.4
25	Tyler AllgeierCardinals	vs Seahawks	8.9	9.6	10.3	2.2–19.3
26	Aaron JonesVikings	at Bears	8.6	9.5	10.4	2.2–19.2
27	Alvin KamaraSaints	at Ravens	8.1	9.4	10.6	2.1–19.0
28	Jordan MasonVikings	at Bears	8.7	9.2	9.6	1.9–18.7
29	Kyle MonangaiBears	vs Vikings	8.3	9.1	9.9	1.9–18.7
30	Zach CharbonnetSeahawks	at Cardinals	8.3	9.1	9.9	1.9–18.7
31	Chuba HubbardPanthers	at Falcons	7.9	9.0	10.1	1.8–18.5
32	Trey BensonCardinals	vs Seahawks	7.4	8.8	10.2	1.7–18.3
33	Rico DowdleSteelers	at Patriots	7.3	8.6	10.0	1.5–18.0
34	Quinshon JudkinsBrowns	at Buccaneers	7.2	8.2	9.1	1.2–17.4
35	Audric EstiméSaints	at Ravens	7.1	8.1	9.1	1.1–17.3
36	Isiah PachecoLions	at Bills	7.5	8.4	9.4	1.4–17.8
36	Woody MarksTexans	vs Bengals	7.2	7.9	8.7	1.0–17.1
37	Blake CorumRams	vs Giants	7.5	7.9	8.3	1.0–17.1
38	J.K. DobbinsBroncos	vs Jaguars	7.4	7.9	8.4	1.0–17.0
39	Kenny GainwellBuccaneers	vs Browns	6.3	7.5	8.7	0.7–16.6
40	Bam KnightCardinals	vs Seahawks	6.4	7.4	8.4	0.6–16.4
41	Tony PollardTitans	vs Eagles	6.0	6.9	7.8	0.2–15.7
42	Rachaad WhiteCommanders	at Cowboys	5.8	6.8	7.9	0.2–15.6
43	RJ HarveyBroncos	vs Jaguars	5.5	6.8	8.2	0.2–15.6
44	Devin SingletaryGiants	at Rams	5.3	6.3	7.3	0.0–14.9
45	Tyjae SpearsTitans	vs Eagles	4.5	6.0	7.4	0.0–14.4
46	Chris Rodriguez Jr.Jaguars	at Broncos	4.7	5.0	5.3	0.0–13.1
47	Tyrone Tracy Jr.Giants	at Rams	3.9	4.7	5.4	0.0–12.7
48	Emanuel WilsonSeahawks	at Cardinals	3.3	3.7	4.1	0.0–11.4
49	Jaylen WrightDolphins	at 49ers	2.4	2.8	3.3	0.0–10.3

Each call, in one sentence(10)

Our projection has Jahmyr Gibbs at 20.7 half-PPR points at the Bills in Week 2, 2026, our RB1.
Our projection has Bijan Robinson at 18.2 half-PPR points against the Panthers in Week 2, 2026, our RB1.
Our projection has Derrick Henry at 17.7 half-PPR points against the Saints in Week 2, 2026, our RB2.
Our projection has Kenneth Walker III at 17.6 half-PPR points against the Colts in Week 2, 2026, our RB3.
Our projection has Christian McCaffrey at 17.1 half-PPR points against the Dolphins in Week 2, 2026, our RB4.
Our projection has Ashton Jeanty at 14.4 half-PPR points at the Chargers in Week 2, 2026, our RB5.
Our projection has Rhamondre Stevenson at 14.3 half-PPR points against the Steelers in Week 2, 2026, our RB6.
Our projection has Chase Brown at 13.8 half-PPR points at the Texans in Week 2, 2026, our RB7.
Our projection has Jonathan Taylor at 13.7 half-PPR points at the Chiefs in Week 2, 2026, our RB8.
Our projection has Breece Hall at 13.6 half-PPR points against the Packers in Week 2, 2026, our RB9.

Wide Receivers, Week 2, 2026 (56 players)

Wide Receivers fantasy projections for Week 2, 2026, ranked by projected half-PPR points.
Rk	Player	Game	Std	Half-PPR	PPR	Range
1	Amon-Ra St. BrownLions	at Bills	12.5	16.5	20.4	7.3–28.8
1	Puka NacuaRams	vs Giants	11.4	14.6	17.8	6.0–26.2
2	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSeahawks	at Cardinals	10.0	13.4	16.7	5.1–24.6
3	Chris OlaveSaints	at Ravens	10.0	13.4	16.7	5.1–24.6
4	Nico CollinsTexans	vs Bengals	10.0	12.7	15.4	4.6–23.6
5	CeeDee LambCowboys	vs Commanders	9.8	12.5	15.2	4.5–23.4
6	Justin JeffersonVikings	at Bears	9.4	12.2	14.9	4.2–22.9
7	Mike Evans49ers	vs Dolphins	9.1	11.3	13.5	3.6–21.7
8	George PickensCowboys	vs Commanders	8.7	10.8	13.0	3.3–21.1
9	Jameson WilliamsLions	at Bills	8.9	11.2	13.5	3.6–21.6
9	Stefon DiggsCommanders	at Cowboys	8.1	10.7	13.3	3.2–20.9
10	Malik NabersGiants	at Rams	8.0	10.6	13.2	3.1–20.7
11	Ja'Marr ChaseBengals	at Texans	7.9	10.4	12.9	2.9–20.4
12	Deebo Samuel Sr.49ers	vs Dolphins	8.1	10.3	12.6	2.9–20.4
13	Davante AdamsRams	vs Giants	7.9	10.1	12.4	2.8–20.1
14	Zay FlowersRavens	vs Saints	7.8	10.0	12.2	2.7–19.9
15	DJ MooreBills	vs Lions	8.2	10.3	12.3	2.9–20.3
15	DK MetcalfSteelers	at Patriots	7.4	9.8	12.3	2.6–19.7
16	Tetairoa McMillanPanthers	at Falcons	7.6	9.8	12.1	2.5–19.7
17	Christian WatsonPackers	at Jets	7.7	9.8	11.9	2.5–19.7
18	Khalil ShakirBills	vs Lions	7.6	9.9	12.1	2.6–19.7
18	Ladd McConkeyChargers	vs Raiders	7.5	9.7	12.0	2.5–19.5
19	DeVonta SmithEagles	at Titans	6.8	9.0	11.2	1.9–18.5
20	A.J. BrownPatriots	vs Steelers	6.9	8.9	10.9	1.9–18.4
21	Garrett WilsonJets	vs Packers	6.6	8.9	11.2	1.9–18.4
22	Emeka EgbukaBuccaneers	vs Browns	6.9	8.8	10.7	1.8–18.2
23	Tee HigginsBengals	at Texans	6.7	8.8	10.8	1.8–18.2
24	Rashee RiceChiefs	vs Colts	6.6	8.7	10.8	1.7–18.1
25	Michael WilsonCardinals	vs Seahawks	6.4	8.6	10.9	1.7–18.0
26	Quentin JohnstonChargers	vs Raiders	6.5	8.4	10.3	1.5–17.7
27	Courtland SuttonBroncos	vs Jaguars	6.5	8.4	10.3	1.5–17.7
28	Keenan AllenColts	at Chiefs	6.0	8.3	10.5	1.4–17.5
29	Drake LondonFalcons	vs Panthers	6.2	8.2	10.3	1.4–17.5
30	Parker WashingtonJaguars	at Broncos	6.1	8.0	10.0	1.3–17.2
31	Alec PierceColts	at Chiefs	6.2	7.9	9.6	1.2–17.1
32	Xavier WorthyChiefs	vs Colts	6.0	7.8	9.6	1.1–16.9
33	Wan'Dale RobinsonTitans	vs Eagles	5.3	7.7	10.2	1.1–16.8
34	Terry McLaurinCommanders	at Cowboys	5.9	7.6	9.3	1.0–16.6
35	Chris Godwin Jr.Buccaneers	vs Browns	5.6	7.5	9.3	0.9–16.4
36	Rome OdunzeBears	vs Vikings	5.8	7.4	8.9	0.8–16.3
37	Ricky Pearsall49ers	vs Dolphins	5.3	7.3	9.4	0.8–16.2
38	Jaylen WaddleBroncos	vs Jaguars	5.5	7.2	9.0	0.7–16.1
39	Brian Thomas Jr.Jaguars	at Broncos	5.1	6.7	8.3	0.3–15.4
40	Josh DownsColts	at Chiefs	4.6	6.4	8.1	0.1–14.9
41	Jakobi MeyersJaguars	at Broncos	4.6	6.3	7.9	0.0–14.8
42	Jerry JeudyBrowns	at Buccaneers	4.5	6.1	7.7	0.0–14.5
43	Rashid ShaheedSeahawks	at Cardinals	4.5	6.0	7.5	0.0–14.4
44	Tre TuckerRaiders	at Chargers	4.4	6.0	7.6	0.0–14.4
45	Michael PittmanSteelers	at Patriots	4.2	6.0	7.8	0.0–14.4
46	Romeo DoubsPatriots	vs Steelers	4.4	5.9	7.4	0.0–14.2
47	Jordan AddisonVikings	at Bears	4.4	5.8	7.2	0.0–14.1
48	Marvin Harrison Jr.Cardinals	vs Seahawks	4.3	5.7	7.2	0.0–14.0
49	Jauan JenningsVikings	at Bears	4.0	5.3	6.7	0.0–13.4
50	Troy FranklinBroncos	vs Jaguars	3.8	5.1	6.4	0.0–13.2
51	Elic AyomanorTitans	vs Eagles	3.6	4.9	6.2	0.0–12.9
52	Calvin RidleyTitans	vs Eagles	2.8	4.6	6.4	0.0–12.4

Each call, in one sentence(10)

Our projection has Amon-Ra St. Brown at 16.5 half-PPR points at the Bills in Week 2, 2026, our WR1.
Our projection has Puka Nacua at 14.6 half-PPR points against the Giants in Week 2, 2026, our WR1.
Our projection has Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 13.4 half-PPR points at the Cardinals in Week 2, 2026, our WR2.
Our projection has Chris Olave at 13.4 half-PPR points at the Ravens in Week 2, 2026, our WR3.
Our projection has Nico Collins at 12.7 half-PPR points against the Bengals in Week 2, 2026, our WR4.
Our projection has CeeDee Lamb at 12.5 half-PPR points against the Commanders in Week 2, 2026, our WR5.
Our projection has Justin Jefferson at 12.2 half-PPR points at the Bears in Week 2, 2026, our WR6.
Our projection has Mike Evans at 11.3 half-PPR points against the Dolphins in Week 2, 2026, our WR7.
Our projection has George Pickens at 10.8 half-PPR points against the Commanders in Week 2, 2026, our WR8.
Our projection has Jameson Williams at 11.2 half-PPR points at the Bills in Week 2, 2026, our WR9.

Tight Ends, Week 2, 2026 (29 players)

Tight Ends fantasy projections for Week 2, 2026, ranked by projected half-PPR points.
Rk	Player	Game	Std	Half-PPR	PPR	Range
1	Trey McBrideCardinals	vs Seahawks	7.8	11.2	14.6	4.0–21.1
2	George Kittle49ers	vs Dolphins	7.3	9.3	11.4	2.9–18.2
3	Sam LaPortaLions	at Bills	6.6	8.8	11.1	2.5–17.4
3	Dalton SchultzTexans	vs Bengals	6.2	8.4	10.7	2.3–16.8
4	Travis KelceChiefs	vs Colts	6.2	8.1	10.1	2.1–16.4
5	Tucker KraftPackers	at Jets	6.1	8.1	10.1	2.1–16.3
6	Mark AndrewsRavens	vs Saints	5.9	7.7	9.5	1.8–15.7
7	Dalton KincaidBills	vs Lions	6.0	7.8	9.7	1.9–15.9
7	Juwan JohnsonSaints	at Ravens	5.2	7.3	9.4	1.6–15.1
8	Brock BowersRaiders	at Chargers	5.1	7.3	9.5	1.6–15.1
9	Dallas GoedertEagles	at Titans	5.3	7.2	9.2	1.6–15.0
10	Jake Tonges49ers	vs Dolphins	5.3	7.1	8.9	1.5–14.8
11	Cade OttonBuccaneers	vs Browns	4.9	6.7	8.5	1.2–14.2
12	Tyler WarrenColts	at Chiefs	4.6	6.5	8.5	1.1–13.9
13	David NjokuChargers	vs Raiders	4.6	6.3	8.1	1.0–13.6
14	Evan EngramBroncos	vs Jaguars	4.5	6.3	8.0	1.0–13.5
15	T.J. HockensonVikings	at Bears	4.3	6.0	7.7	0.8–13.1
16	Hunter HenryPatriots	vs Steelers	4.2	5.8	7.4	0.7–12.8
17	Jake FergusonCowboys	vs Commanders	4.1	5.7	7.3	0.6–12.6
18	Colston LovelandBears	vs Vikings	4.2	5.7	7.1	0.6–12.6
19	Brenton StrangeJaguars	at Broncos	3.9	5.5	7.1	0.5–12.4
20	Chig OkonkwoCommanders	at Cowboys	3.9	5.5	7.0	0.5–12.3
21	Oronde Gadsden IIChargers	vs Raiders	4.0	5.5	6.9	0.5–12.3
22	Harold Fannin Jr.Browns	at Buccaneers	3.5	5.2	6.9	0.3–11.8
23	Colby ParkinsonRams	vs Giants	3.8	5.1	6.5	0.3–11.8
24	Kyle PittsFalcons	vs Panthers	3.7	5.1	6.6	0.3–11.8
25	Mason TaylorJets	vs Packers	3.4	5.0	6.6	0.2–11.6
26	AJ BarnerSeahawks	at Cardinals	3.2	4.6	6.0	0.0–11.0
27	Theo JohnsonGiants	at Rams	3.0	4.3	5.6	0.0–10.5

Each call, in one sentence(10)

Our projection has Trey McBride at 11.2 half-PPR points against the Seahawks in Week 2, 2026, our TE1.
Our projection has George Kittle at 9.3 half-PPR points against the Dolphins in Week 2, 2026, our TE2.
Our projection has Sam LaPorta at 8.8 half-PPR points at the Bills in Week 2, 2026, our TE3.
Our projection has Dalton Schultz at 8.4 half-PPR points against the Bengals in Week 2, 2026, our TE3.
Our projection has Travis Kelce at 8.1 half-PPR points against the Colts in Week 2, 2026, our TE4.
Our projection has Tucker Kraft at 8.1 half-PPR points at the Jets in Week 2, 2026, our TE5.
Our projection has Mark Andrews at 7.7 half-PPR points against the Saints in Week 2, 2026, our TE6.
Our projection has Dalton Kincaid at 7.8 half-PPR points against the Lions in Week 2, 2026, our TE7.
Our projection has Juwan Johnson at 7.3 half-PPR points at the Ravens in Week 2, 2026, our TE7.
Our projection has Brock Bowers at 7.3 half-PPR points at the Chargers in Week 2, 2026, our TE8.

Start or sit: compare two players

Pick the two you are torn between. The gap is our projection’s, and the rows underneath are the components that produce it. Free, like every number on this board.

Player APlayer BScoring

Our projection has Josh Allen ahead by 1.6 Half-PPR points, 20.7 to 19.1.

Josh Allen compared with Brock Purdy, Half-PPR scoring.
	Josh Allen	Brock Purdy	Gap
Projected Half-PPR	20.7	19.1	1.6
Range (floor–ceiling)	10.7–31.3	9.4–29.6	—
Positional rank	QB1	QB1	—
This week	vs Lions	vs Dolphins	—
Pass yards	246.3	300.9	-54.6
Rush yards	32.4	21.1	11.3
Carries	5.3	4.6	0.7
Rush TDs	0.6	0.3	0.3
Pass TDs	1.7	1.8	-0.1
Interceptions	0.7	0.8	-0.1

Components are the projection’s own expected stat line, not last week’s box score. Both numbers assume the player takes the field: the model does not forecast whether he is active, which is why the injury row is there and why a player ruled out carries a status instead of a number.

How these projections work

Projections are our own model's output: recent role and usage, shrunk efficiency rates, and the game's scoring environment. The range beside each number is modeled, not a fixed band: the 10th to 90th percentile of that player's outcomes for the week, fit from how projections like his have actually landed. Every projection is graded against actual fantasy points the week after it publishes. Every number is conditional on the player playing: a player ruled out carries his status instead of a projection, and a DNP is excluded from the record, never counted as a zero. Nothing here is betting advice.

Kickers and team defenses are not on the board yet — the model projects the four positions where snaps and usage separate startable players. Team defenses are planned to join around Week 4, kickers later in the season, and both appear here first when they do.