Amanda Lemos and Alexia Thainara share the cage in the bout of UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld. Our number leans Alexia Thainara at 60%, with Lemos the live side of a bout that is closer than the marquee suggests. How it ends matters as much as who wins: decision is the single likeliest finish (73%), with a 73% chance of going all three rounds.
Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara — preview and prediction
Maiden picks Alexia Thainara (60%) by decision over Amanda Lemos.
Pick: Thainara · Win probability 60% Thainara
Method of victory
Most likely: decision 73% · submission 22% · KO/TKO 6%
- decision
- 73%
- submission
- 22%
- KO/TKO
- 6%
We put the chance this fight reaches a decision at 73% — otherwise it ends inside three rounds. Every method call is graded against the real result after the fight.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara?
- Maiden picks Alexia Thainara at 60% to beat Amanda Lemos in the bout at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld.
- Will Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara go the distance?
- We put the chance this fight reaches a decision at 73% — the other 27% of the time it ends inside all three rounds.
- How does Alexia Thainara beat Amanda Lemos?
- The likeliest ending is decision. Full method split: decision 73%, submission 22%, KO/TKO 6%. These are explicit probabilities, graded in public after the fight.
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Maiden publishes predictions, not bets — every pick and method call is graded in public after the fight, wins and misses both.