In the bout at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott, Joaquin Buckley meets Mike Malott. Our number leans Joaquin Buckley at 59%, with Malott the live side of a bout that is closer than the marquee suggests. How it ends matters as much as who wins: ko/tko is the single likeliest finish (57%), with a 33% chance of going all five rounds. We're going against the market, which prefers Malott; the Buckley pick is an upset call.
Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott — preview and prediction
Maiden picks Joaquin Buckley (59%) by KO/TKO over Mike Malott. An upset call: the market leans the other way.
Pick: Buckley · Win probability 59% Buckley
Method of victory
Most likely: KO/TKO 57% · decision 33% · submission 9%
- KO/TKO
- 57%
- decision
- 33%
- submission
- 9%
We put the chance this fight reaches a decision at 33% — otherwise it ends inside five rounds. Every method call is graded against the real result after the fight.
The rest of the numbers
This page publishes the method call. Pro opens the round-by-round finish odds behind it, and what the number did before it froze: every revision, or proof it never moved.
What Pro unlocksFrequently asked questions
- Who will win Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott?
- Maiden picks Joaquin Buckley at 59% to beat Mike Malott in the bout at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott. It's an upset call — the market leans the other way.
- Will Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott go the distance?
- We put the chance this fight reaches a decision at 33% — the other 67% of the time it ends inside all five rounds.
- How does Joaquin Buckley beat Mike Malott?
- The likeliest ending is KO/TKO. Full method split: KO/TKO 57%, decision 33%, submission 9%. Every branch carries its own number.
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