UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 puts Tai Tuivasa across the cage from Robelis Despaigne in the bout. Our number leans Tai Tuivasa at 62%, with Despaigne the live side of a bout that is closer than the marquee suggests. We read the likeliest ending as ko/tko at 65%; the odds of all three rounds sit around 30%. We're going against the market, which prefers Despaigne; the Tuivasa pick is an upset call.