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The fantasy calls of Week 2, 2026

By Sparks · Week 2, 2026 · graded

Josh Allen leads our QBs at 20.7; Jahmyr Gibbs leads our RBs at 20.7; Amon-Ra St. Brown leads our WRs at 16.5; Trey McBride leads our TEs at 11.2. Half-PPR, all of it on the open board. What follows is the reasoning at each position: who the model has ahead, by how much, and where the gap is thin enough that we would rather call it a coin flip than invent a conviction.

Ruled out this week: Sam Darnold (at Cardinals), Kyler Murray (at Bears), Michael Penix Jr. (vs Panthers), Nico Collins (vs Bengals), Jauan Jennings (at Bears), Chig Okonkwo (at Cowboys). Each carries a status instead of a projection: we do not publish a number for a player we do not expect to play, and a player who sits is excluded from the record rather than scored as a zero.

Quarterbacks (QB): Josh Allen first

Josh Allen edges Brock Purdy by 1.6: a lean, not a landslide, and the ranges overlap plenty.

  1. Our projection has Josh Allen at 20.7 half-PPR points against the Lions in Week 2, 2026, our QB1. Actual: 40.8 half-PPR points.
  2. Brock Purdy is our QB1 at 19.1 against the Dolphins. Actual: 28.5 half-PPR points.
  3. Jaxson Dart is our QB1 at 16.0 at the Rams. Actual: 0.8 half-PPR points.

Every QB on the open board →

Running Backs (RB): Jahmyr Gibbs first

Jahmyr Gibbs is the clearest call we have at the position. Our numbers put him 2.5 ahead of Bijan Robinson, and a gap that size rarely closes on matchup alone.

  1. Our projection has Jahmyr Gibbs at 20.7 half-PPR points at the Bills in Week 2, 2026, our RB1. Actual: 20.3 half-PPR points.
  2. Bijan Robinson is our RB1 at 18.2 against the Panthers. Actual: 9.6 half-PPR points.
  3. Kyren Williams is our RB1 at 11.5 against the Giants. Actual: 14.7 half-PPR points.

Every RB on the open board →

Wide Receivers (WR): Amon-Ra St. Brown first

2.1 separates Amon-Ra St. Brown from Puka Nacua in our projections. At this scoring range that is a genuine gap rather than rounding.

  1. Our projection has Amon-Ra St. Brown at 16.5 half-PPR points at the Bills in Week 2, 2026, our WR1. Actual: 30.7 half-PPR points.
  2. Puka Nacua is our WR1 at 14.4 against the Giants. He is listed questionable, and the number assumes he plays. Took no snap, so it is excluded from the record.
  3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is our WR2 at 13.4 at the Cardinals. Actual: 38.0 half-PPR points.

Every WR on the open board →

Tight Ends (TE): Trey McBride first

The top of the position is not close this week: Trey McBride clears Colby Parkinson by 6.1 in our numbers, which is a real gap at this scoring range.

  1. Our projection has Trey McBride at 11.2 half-PPR points against the Seahawks in Week 2, 2026, our TE1. Actual: 14.1 half-PPR points.
  2. Colby Parkinson is our TE1 at 5.1 against the Giants. Actual: 2.5 half-PPR points.
  3. George Kittle is our TE2 at 9.3 against the Dolphins. Actual: 16.0 half-PPR points.

Every TE on the open board →

Projections are our own model's output: recent role and usage, shrunk efficiency rates, and the game's scoring environment. The range beside each number is modeled, not a fixed band: the 10th to 90th percentile of that player's outcomes for the week, fit from how projections like his have actually landed. Every projection is graded against actual fantasy points the week after it publishes. Every number is conditional on the player playing: a player ruled out carries his status instead of a projection, and a player who takes no offensive snap is excluded from the record rather than counted as a zero. One snap is enough to be graded — a player who was on the field is scored on what he actually did, including nothing at all. Nothing here is betting advice.

The full Week 2, 2026 board: every player, all three scoring formats →