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The fantasy calls of Week 6, 2026

By Sparks · Week 6, 2026 · graded

Josh Allen leads our QBs at 23.5; Kyren Williams leads our RBs at 20.1; Puka Nacua leads our WRs at 23.5; Trey McBride leads our TEs at 13.5. Half-PPR, all of it on the open board. What follows is the reasoning at each position: who the model has ahead, by how much, and where the gap is thin enough that we would rather call it a coin flip than invent a conviction.

Ruled out this week: Lamar Jackson (at Browns), Baker Mayfield (vs Steelers), Jalen Hurts (vs Panthers), Marcus Mariota (at 49ers), Zach Charbonnet (at Broncos), Saquon Barkley (vs Panthers), David Montgomery (at Jaguars), Breece Hall (at Patriots), and 6 more on the board. Each carries a status instead of a projection: we do not publish a number for a player we do not expect to play, and a player who sits is excluded from the record rather than scored as a zero.

Quarterbacks (QB): Josh Allen first

The top of the position is not close this week: Josh Allen clears Brock Purdy by 3.5 in our numbers, which is a real gap at this scoring range.

  1. Our projection has Josh Allen at 23.5 half-PPR points at the Raiders in Week 6, 2026, our QB1. Actual: 18.3 half-PPR points.
  2. Brock Purdy is our QB1 at 20.0 against the Commanders. Actual: 17.4 half-PPR points.
  3. Matthew Stafford is our QB2 at 21.4 against the Cardinals. Actual: 16.9 half-PPR points.

Every QB on the open board →

Running Backs (RB): Kyren Williams first

Kyren Williams is the clearest call we have at the position. Our numbers put him 4.4 ahead of Christian McCaffrey, and a gap that size rarely closes on matchup alone.

  1. Our projection has Kyren Williams at 20.1 half-PPR points against the Cardinals in Week 6, 2026, our RB1. Actual: 8.2 half-PPR points.
  2. Christian McCaffrey is our RB1 at 15.7 against the Commanders. Actual: 26.2 half-PPR points.
  3. Kenneth Walker III is our RB2 at 20.1 against the Chargers. Actual: 26.9 half-PPR points.

Every RB on the open board →

Wide Receivers (WR): Puka Nacua first

11.6 separates Puka Nacua from Mike Evans in our projections. At this scoring range that is a genuine gap rather than rounding.

  1. Our projection has Puka Nacua at 23.5 half-PPR points against the Cardinals in Week 6, 2026, our WR1. Actual: 11.0 half-PPR points.
  2. Mike Evans is our WR1 at 11.9 against the Commanders. He is listed questionable, and the number assumes he plays. Actual: 10.9 half-PPR points.
  3. CeeDee Lamb is our WR2 at 15.7 at the Packers. Actual: 11.5 half-PPR points.

Every WR on the open board →

Tight Ends (TE): Trey McBride first

The top of the position is not close this week: Trey McBride clears George Kittle by 3.3 in our numbers, which is a real gap at this scoring range.

  1. Our projection has Trey McBride at 13.5 half-PPR points at the Rams in Week 6, 2026, our TE1. Actual: 8.8 half-PPR points.
  2. George Kittle is our TE1 at 10.2 against the Commanders. Actual: 15.4 half-PPR points.
  3. Brock Bowers is our TE2 at 12.9 against the Bills. Actual: 9.0 half-PPR points.

Every TE on the open board →

Projections are our own model's output: recent role and usage, shrunk efficiency rates, and the game's scoring environment. The range beside each number is modeled, not a fixed band: the 10th to 90th percentile of that player's outcomes for the week, fit from how projections like his have actually landed. Every projection is graded against actual fantasy points the week after it publishes. Every number is conditional on the player playing: a player ruled out carries his status instead of a projection, and a player who takes no offensive snap is excluded from the record rather than counted as a zero. One snap is enough to be graded — a player who was on the field is scored on what he actually did, including nothing at all. Nothing here is betting advice.

The full Week 6, 2026 board: every player, all three scoring formats →