Best NFL Games, Week 8, 2026
The 5 biggest games of Week 8, with our win probability on every one.
Sparks is Maiden's editorial desk. Every figure below traces to a number we published before kickoff, and nothing here is edited after the fact.
- Seattle Seahawks-157
- Denver Broncos+109
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers-125
Consensus across books when this was published, October 28, 2026. Prices move; we do not update them here.
Week 8 of the 2026 NFL season gives us 5 games worth clearing your schedule for. Our strongest number on the slate is Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 55% to win against Atlanta Falcons. The desk has a call on 14 of the 14 games being played, and every one of them is published before kickoff and graded in public afterwards — misses included.
Every NFL prediction we published for Week 8, 2026 is on the Week 8, 2026 board.
1. Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks prediction
Seattle Seahawks, 53% to win. We project them by 0.9.
Projected total 45.9.
Our pick missed: Seattle Seahawks lost by 17. We had them at 53%, and it stays on the record.
Our number here is Seattle Seahawks at 53%. That is close enough to even that the number is doing very little work.
Seattle's defence is the defining side of the ball, ranking 2nd overall this season and 2nd against the pass. Chicago bring a 9th-ranked offence to Lumen Field, a venue built to trap noise, but the Bears lean on a defence ranked 22nd. That gap lets the Seahawks offence, ranked 8th, dictate terms.
2. Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos prediction
Denver Broncos, 53% to win. We project them by 1.
Projected total 40.6.
Our pick landed: Denver Broncos won by 4. We had them at 53%.
Our number here is Denver Broncos at 53%. That is close enough to even that the number is doing very little work. We project them by 1. We have it as a low-scoring, defensive game.
Denver's sixth-ranked pass defence holds the upper hand over a Kansas City passing attack sitting 22nd this season. The Chiefs bring an offence ranked 19th against a seventh-ranked Denver defence. With two top-twelve defences on the field in this division game, visiting teams feel the fourth quarter at Empower Field at Mile High.
4. Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction
Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 55% to win. We project them by 1.6.
Projected total 46.5.
Our pick landed: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won by 16. We had them at 55%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 55% to win, and that is the call. That is barely a lean, and the honest read is that this is close to even. We project them by 1.6.
The Atlanta Falcons enter this NFC South division game at 3-4 with the 21st-ranked offence, while the 2-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers bring the 16th-ranked offence. Both defences sit in the lower half of the league this season, with Tampa Bay 20th and Atlanta 16th. Neither side holds a clear edge on either attack, which projects a close 46.5 points.
Every number above went on the record before kickoff and gets graded afterwards, win or lose. The misses stay up.
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
- Our model makes Tampa Bay Buccaneers 55% to win against Atlanta Falcons. That number was published before kickoff and will be graded in public afterwards.
- What is the biggest NFL game in Week 8?
- Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks is the game we rate highest this week, on a combination of how good both teams are, how close we expect it to be, and where it sits in the broadcast schedule.
- How many games does the desk have a call on this week?
- 14 of the 14 games being played. Our NFL board carries a number on every game on the slate rather than withholding the close ones, and every one of them is graded afterwards, win or lose.
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Every prediction here is graded after the game and kept up, hit or miss.