Who won App State vs East Carolina?

App State Mountaineers won 27-24. Maiden picked East Carolina Pirates at 80% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 80% to 85% have won 40 of 46 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the App State vs East Carolina win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with East Carolina Pirates hosting App State Mountaineers. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

App State Mountaineers at East Carolina Pirates — result and pick review

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

East Carolina Pirates 24, App State Mountaineers 27

Our pick missed: East Carolina Pirates lost 24-27. We had them at 80%, and it stays on the record.

East Carolina Pirates, 80% to win. We project them by 14.1.

The numbers

Our pick	East Carolina Pirates
Chance they win	80%
Our projected spread (East Carolina Pirates)	-14.1
Our projected score (East Carolina Pirates first)	34-20
Projected total	54
Our picks at 80% to 85% confidence	40-6 (87%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (East Carolina Pirates)	-6.5
Total	56

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 6, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won App State vs East Carolina?: App State Mountaineers won 27-24. Maiden picked East Carolina Pirates at 80% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 80% to 85% have won 40 of 46 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the App State vs East Carolina win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with East Carolina Pirates hosting App State Mountaineers. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.