Who won App State vs Georgia Southern?

Georgia Southern Eagles won 19-3. Maiden picked Georgia Southern Eagles at 62% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 60% to 65% have won 41 of 62 college football games, 66%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the App State vs Georgia Southern win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Georgia Southern Eagles hosting App State Mountaineers. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC

App State Mountaineers at Georgia Southern Eagles — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Georgia Southern Eagles 19, App State Mountaineers 3

Our pick landed: Georgia Southern Eagles won 19-3. We had them at 62%.

Georgia Southern Eagles, 62% to win. We project them by 4.8.

The numbers

Our pick	Georgia Southern Eagles
Chance they win	62%
Our projected spread (Georgia Southern Eagles)	-4.8
Our projected score (Georgia Southern Eagles first)	29-24
Projected total	53.1
Our picks at 60% to 65% confidence	41-21 (66%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Georgia Southern Eagles)	-6
Total	55.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Oct 25, 2026, 3:03 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won App State vs Georgia Southern?: Georgia Southern Eagles won 19-3. Maiden picked Georgia Southern Eagles at 62% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 60% to 65% have won 41 of 62 college football games, 66%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the App State vs Georgia Southern win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Georgia Southern Eagles hosting App State Mountaineers. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.