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Week 2 ·

Arizona State Sun Devils at Texas A&M Aggies — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Texas A&M Aggies 48, Arizona State Sun Devils 20

Our pick landed: Texas A&M Aggies won 48-20. We had them at 89%.

Texas A&M Aggies, 89% to win. We project them by 20.1.

The numbers

Our pickTexas A&M Aggies
Chance they win89%
Our projected spread (Texas A&M Aggies)-20.1
Our projected score (Texas A&M Aggies first)36-16
Projected total51.6
Our picks at 85% to 90% confidence33-5 (87%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Texas A&M Aggies)-14.5
Total50.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 5, 2026, 11:13 AM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Arizona State vs Texas A&M?
Texas A&M Aggies won 48-20. Maiden picked Texas A&M Aggies at 89% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
Picks we've made between 85% to 90% have won 33 of 38 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Arizona State vs Texas A&M win probability come from?
We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Texas A&M Aggies hosting Arizona State Sun Devils. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?
No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.