Who won Arkansas vs Utah?

Utah Utes won 43-10. Maiden picked Utah Utes at 82% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

Where does the Arkansas vs Utah win probability come from?

We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Utah Utes hosting Arkansas Razorbacks. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 2 · Sep 13, 2026, 2:15 AM UTC

Arkansas Razorbacks at Utah Utes — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Utah Utes 43, Arkansas Razorbacks 10

Our pick landed: Utah Utes won 43-10. We had them at 82%.

Utah Utes, 82% to win. We project them by 15.

The numbers

Our pick	Utah Utes
Chance they win	82%
Our projected spread (Utah Utes)	-15
Our projected score (Utah Utes first)	39-24
Projected total	62.2

The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.

Market average

Spread (Utah Utes)	-12
Total	55.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 5, 2026, 11:13 AM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Arkansas vs Utah?: Utah Utes won 43-10. Maiden picked Utah Utes at 82% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
Where does the Arkansas vs Utah win probability come from?: We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Utah Utes hosting Arkansas Razorbacks. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.