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Week 1 ·

Ball State Cardinals at Ohio State Buckeyes — prediction and win probability

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Ohio State Buckeyes, 100% to win — we project them by 39.6.

Projected total 47.2

The numbers

Our pickOhio State Buckeyes
Chance they win100%
Projected margin (Ohio State Buckeyes)+39.6
Projected total47.2

Only the win probability is graded. The projected margin and total are our own model’s supporting numbers — they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested, and no call is made on them. No sportsbook line appears on this page.

Rest of the Week 1, 2026 board

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets — every call is graded in public after the game, wins and misses both.