Who won Baylor vs Auburn?

Auburn Tigers won 17-16. Maiden picked Auburn Tigers at 63% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 60% to 65% have won 41 of 62 college football games, 66%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Baylor vs Auburn win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for the neutral site, where neither team has home field. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 1 · Neutral site · Sep 5, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC

Baylor Bears vs Auburn Tigers — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Auburn Tigers 17, Baylor Bears 16

Our pick landed: Auburn Tigers won 17-16. We had them at 63%.

Auburn Tigers, 63% to win. We project them by 5.5.

The numbers

Our pick	Auburn Tigers
Chance they win	63%
Our projected spread (Auburn Tigers)	-5.5
Our projected score (Auburn Tigers first)	30-25
Projected total	55.2
Our picks at 60% to 65% confidence	41-21 (66%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Auburn Tigers)	-7.5
Total	59

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Baylor vs Auburn?: Auburn Tigers won 17-16. Maiden picked Auburn Tigers at 63% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 60% to 65% have won 41 of 62 college football games, 66%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Baylor vs Auburn win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for the neutral site, where neither team has home field. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.