Boston College Eagles at Cincinnati Bearcats — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightCincinnati Bearcats 34, Boston College Eagles 15
Our pick landed: Cincinnati Bearcats won 34-15. We had them at 72%.
Cincinnati Bearcats, 72% to win. We project them by 9.7.
The numbers
| Our pick | Cincinnati Bearcats |
| Chance they win | 72% |
| Our projected spread (Cincinnati Bearcats) | -9.7 |
| Our projected score (Cincinnati Bearcats first) | 32-23 |
| Projected total | 55.1 |
The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (Cincinnati Bearcats) | -7.5 |
| Total | 50 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Boston College vs Cincinnati?
- Cincinnati Bearcats won 34-15. Maiden picked Cincinnati Bearcats at 72% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- Where does the Boston College vs Cincinnati win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Cincinnati Bearcats hosting Boston College Eagles. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.