UCF Knights won 39-31. Maiden picked BYU Cougars at 66% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 65% to 70% have won 35 of 51 college football games, 69%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the BYU vs UCF win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with UCF Knights hosting BYU Cougars. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC

BYU Cougars at UCF Knights — result and pick review

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

BYU Cougars 31, UCF Knights 39

Our pick missed: BYU Cougars lost 31-39. We had them at 66%, and it stays on the record.

BYU Cougars, 66% to win. We project them by 7.

The numbers

Our pick	BYU Cougars
Chance they win	66%
Our projected spread (BYU Cougars)	-7
Our projected score (BYU Cougars first)	28-21
Projected total	48.3
Our picks at 65% to 70% confidence	35-16 (69%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (BYU Cougars)	-7.5
Total	43

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Oct 18, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won BYU vs UCF?: UCF Knights won 39-31. Maiden picked BYU Cougars at 66% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 65% to 70% have won 35 of 51 college football games, 69%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the BYU vs UCF win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with UCF Knights hosting BYU Cougars. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.