Who won Central Michigan vs New Mexico?

New Mexico Lobos won 38-7. Maiden picked New Mexico Lobos at 71% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 70% to 75% have won 38 of 54 college football games, 70%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Central Michigan vs New Mexico win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with New Mexico Lobos hosting Central Michigan Chippewas. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 1 · Sep 6, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

Central Michigan Chippewas at New Mexico Lobos — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

New Mexico Lobos 38, Central Michigan Chippewas 7

Our pick landed: New Mexico Lobos won 38-7. We had them at 71%.

New Mexico Lobos, 71% to win. We project them by 9.1.

The numbers

Our pick	New Mexico Lobos
Chance they win	71%
Our projected spread (New Mexico Lobos)	-9.1
Our projected score (New Mexico Lobos first)	30-21
Projected total	51.7
Our picks at 70% to 75% confidence	38-16 (70%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (New Mexico Lobos)	-10.5
Total	46.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Central Michigan vs New Mexico?: New Mexico Lobos won 38-7. Maiden picked New Mexico Lobos at 71% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 70% to 75% have won 38 of 54 college football games, 70%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Central Michigan vs New Mexico win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with New Mexico Lobos hosting Central Michigan Chippewas. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.