Who won Colorado State vs UTSA?

UTSA Roadrunners won 59-45. Maiden picked UTSA Roadrunners at 83% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 80% to 85% have won 40 of 46 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Colorado State vs UTSA win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with UTSA Roadrunners hosting Colorado State Rams. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Colorado State Rams at UTSA Roadrunners — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

UTSA Roadrunners 59, Colorado State Rams 45

Our pick landed: UTSA Roadrunners won 59-45. We had them at 83%.

UTSA Roadrunners, 83% to win. We project them by 15.7.

The numbers

Our pick	UTSA Roadrunners
Chance they win	83%
Our projected spread (UTSA Roadrunners)	-15.7
Our projected score (UTSA Roadrunners first)	37-21
Projected total	58.3
Our picks at 80% to 85% confidence	40-6 (87%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (UTSA Roadrunners)	-14
Total	57.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 20, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Colorado State vs UTSA?: UTSA Roadrunners won 59-45. Maiden picked UTSA Roadrunners at 83% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 80% to 85% have won 40 of 46 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Colorado State vs UTSA win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with UTSA Roadrunners hosting Colorado State Rams. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.