East Carolina Pirates at Alabama Crimson Tide — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightAlabama Crimson Tide 48, East Carolina Pirates 10
Our pick landed: Alabama Crimson Tide won 48-10. We had them at 83%.
Alabama Crimson Tide, 83% to win. We project them by 16.
The numbers
| Our pick | Alabama Crimson Tide |
| Chance they win | 83% |
| Our projected spread (Alabama Crimson Tide) | -16 |
| Our projected score (Alabama Crimson Tide first) | 34-18 |
| Projected total | 51.2 |
The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (Alabama Crimson Tide) | -28 |
| Total | 52.5 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC
Tomorrow's board, before kickoff
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, football included, published before anything starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.
Frequently asked questions
- Who won East Carolina vs Alabama?
- Alabama Crimson Tide won 48-10. Maiden picked Alabama Crimson Tide at 83% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- Where does the East Carolina vs Alabama win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Alabama Crimson Tide hosting East Carolina Pirates. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.