Eastern Michigan Eagles at Michigan State Spartans — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightMichigan State Spartans 35, Eastern Michigan Eagles 7
Our pick landed: Michigan State Spartans won 35-7. We had them at 84%.
Michigan State Spartans, 84% to win. We project them by 16.3.
The numbers
| Our pick | Michigan State Spartans |
| Chance they win | 84% |
| Our projected spread (Michigan State Spartans) | -16.3 |
| Our projected score (Michigan State Spartans first) | 34-18 |
| Projected total | 52 |
The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (Michigan State Spartans) | -17.5 |
| Total | 50 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Sep 6, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State?
- Michigan State Spartans won 35-7. Maiden picked Michigan State Spartans at 84% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- Where does the Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Michigan State Spartans hosting Eastern Michigan Eagles. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.