Who won Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State?

Michigan State Spartans won 35-7. Maiden picked Michigan State Spartans at 84% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 80% to 85% have won 40 of 46 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Michigan State Spartans hosting Eastern Michigan Eagles. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Michigan State Spartans — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Michigan State Spartans 35, Eastern Michigan Eagles 7

Our pick landed: Michigan State Spartans won 35-7. We had them at 84%.

Michigan State Spartans, 84% to win. We project them by 16.3.

The numbers

Our pick	Michigan State Spartans
Chance they win	84%
Our projected spread (Michigan State Spartans)	-16.3
Our projected score (Michigan State Spartans first)	34-18
Projected total	52
Our picks at 80% to 85% confidence	40-6 (87%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Michigan State Spartans)	-17.5
Total	50

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 6, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State?: Michigan State Spartans won 35-7. Maiden picked Michigan State Spartans at 84% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 80% to 85% have won 40 of 46 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Michigan State Spartans hosting Eastern Michigan Eagles. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.