Who won Florida Atlantic vs Florida?

Florida Gators won 66-21. Maiden picked Florida Gators at 89% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 85% to 90% have won 33 of 38 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Florida Atlantic vs Florida win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Florida Gators hosting Florida Atlantic Owls. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026, 11:45 PM UTC

Florida Atlantic Owls at Florida Gators — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Florida Gators 66, Florida Atlantic Owls 21

Our pick landed: Florida Gators won 66-21. We had them at 89%.

Florida Gators, 89% to win. We project them by 20.6.

The numbers

Our pick	Florida Gators
Chance they win	89%
Our projected spread (Florida Gators)	-20.6
Our projected score (Florida Gators first)	37-17
Projected total	54.1
Our picks at 85% to 90% confidence	33-5 (87%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Florida Gators)	-26.5
Total	59.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Florida Atlantic vs Florida?: Florida Gators won 66-21. Maiden picked Florida Gators at 89% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 85% to 90% have won 33 of 38 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Florida Atlantic vs Florida win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Florida Gators hosting Florida Atlantic Owls. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.