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Week 9 ·

Florida Atlantic Owls at North Texas Mean Green — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

North Texas Mean Green 48, Florida Atlantic Owls 41

Our pick landed: North Texas Mean Green won 48-41. We had them at 87%.

North Texas Mean Green, 87% to win. We project them by 18.6.

The numbers

Our pickNorth Texas Mean Green
Chance they win87%
Our projected spread (North Texas Mean Green)-18.6
Our projected score (North Texas Mean Green first)48-29
Projected total77.5
Our picks at 85% to 90% confidence33-5 (87%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (North Texas Mean Green)-14
Total78

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Oct 25, 2026, 3:03 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Florida Atlantic vs North Texas?
North Texas Mean Green won 48-41. Maiden picked North Texas Mean Green at 87% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
Picks we've made between 85% to 90% have won 33 of 38 college football games, 87%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Florida Atlantic vs North Texas win probability come from?
We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with North Texas Mean Green hosting Florida Atlantic Owls. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?
No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.