Maiden.bet

Week 4 ·

Florida Atlantic Owls at UL Monroe Warhawks — result and pick review

Share result

Result

✓ Pick right

Florida Atlantic Owls 45, UL Monroe Warhawks 17

Our pick landed: Florida Atlantic Owls won 45-17. We had them at 67%.

Florida Atlantic Owls, 67% to win. We project them by 7.3.

The numbers

Our pickFlorida Atlantic Owls
Chance they win67%
Our projected spread (Florida Atlantic Owls)-7.3
Our projected score (Florida Atlantic Owls first)33-26
Projected total58.4
Our picks at 65% to 70% confidence35-16 (69%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Florida Atlantic Owls)-11.5
Total58

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 20, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

Tomorrow's free picks, by email

One email each morning with the day's free picks, before the games start. Our free beginner's guide comes with it. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Florida Atlantic vs UL Monroe?
Florida Atlantic Owls won 45-17. Maiden picked Florida Atlantic Owls at 67% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
Picks we've made between 65% to 70% have won 35 of 51 college football games, 69%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Florida Atlantic vs UL Monroe win probability come from?
We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with UL Monroe Warhawks hosting Florida Atlantic Owls. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?
No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.