Florida Atlantic Owls at UL Monroe Warhawks — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightFlorida Atlantic Owls 45, UL Monroe Warhawks 17
Our pick landed: Florida Atlantic Owls won 45-17. We had them at 67%.
Florida Atlantic Owls, 67% to win. We project them by 7.3.
The numbers
| Our pick | Florida Atlantic Owls |
| Chance they win | 67% |
| Our projected spread (Florida Atlantic Owls) | -7.3 |
| Our projected score (Florida Atlantic Owls first) | 33-26 |
| Projected total | 58.4 |
| Our picks at 65% to 70% confidence | 35-16 (69%) |
That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.
We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.
Market average
| Spread (Florida Atlantic Owls) | -11.5 |
| Total | 58 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Sep 20, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Florida Atlantic vs UL Monroe?
- Florida Atlantic Owls won 45-17. Maiden picked Florida Atlantic Owls at 67% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
- Picks we've made between 65% to 70% have won 35 of 51 college football games, 69%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
- Where does the Florida Atlantic vs UL Monroe win probability come from?
- We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with UL Monroe Warhawks hosting Florida Atlantic Owls. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.