Who won Iowa vs Minnesota?

Minnesota Golden Gophers won 13-10. Maiden picked Iowa Hawkeyes at 71% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 70% to 75% have won 38 of 54 college football games, 70%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Iowa vs Minnesota win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Minnesota Golden Gophers hosting Iowa Hawkeyes. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC

Iowa Hawkeyes at Minnesota Golden Gophers — result and pick review

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Iowa Hawkeyes 10, Minnesota Golden Gophers 13

Our pick missed: Iowa Hawkeyes lost 10-13. We had them at 71%, and it stays on the record.

Iowa Hawkeyes, 71% to win. We project them by 9.

The numbers

Our pick	Iowa Hawkeyes
Chance they win	71%
Our projected spread (Iowa Hawkeyes)	-9
Our projected score (Iowa Hawkeyes first)	27-18
Projected total	44
Our picks at 70% to 75% confidence	38-16 (70%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Iowa Hawkeyes)	-7.5
Total	41

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Oct 18, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Iowa vs Minnesota?: Minnesota Golden Gophers won 13-10. Maiden picked Iowa Hawkeyes at 71% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 70% to 75% have won 38 of 54 college football games, 70%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Iowa vs Minnesota win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Minnesota Golden Gophers hosting Iowa Hawkeyes. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.