Jacksonville State Gamecocks at North Dakota State Bison — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightNorth Dakota State Bison 33, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 7
Our pick landed: North Dakota State Bison won 33-7. We had them at 66%.
North Dakota State Bison, 66% to win. We project them by 6.9.
The numbers
| Our pick | North Dakota State Bison |
| Chance they win | 66% |
| Our projected spread (North Dakota State Bison) | -6.9 |
| Our projected score (North Dakota State Bison first) | 30-23 |
| Projected total | 53.3 |
The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (North Dakota State Bison) | -7 |
| Total | 46.5 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC · Updated Aug 26, 2026, 1:04 AM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Jacksonville State vs North Dakota State?
- North Dakota State Bison won 33-7. Maiden picked North Dakota State Bison at 66% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- Where does the Jacksonville State vs North Dakota State win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with North Dakota State Bison hosting Jacksonville State Gamecocks. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.