Who won Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State?

Arkansas State Red Wolves won 17-14. Maiden picked Arkansas State Red Wolves at 60% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 60% to 65% have won 41 of 62 college football games, 66%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Arkansas State Red Wolves hosting Kennesaw State Owls. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC

Kennesaw State Owls at Arkansas State Red Wolves — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Arkansas State Red Wolves 17, Kennesaw State Owls 14

Our pick landed: Arkansas State Red Wolves won 17-14. We had them at 60%.

Arkansas State Red Wolves, 60% to win. We project them by 4.5.

The numbers

Our pick	Arkansas State Red Wolves
Chance they win	60%
Our projected spread (Arkansas State Red Wolves)	-4.5
Our projected score (Arkansas State Red Wolves first)	27-23
Projected total	49.8
Our picks at 60% to 65% confidence	41-21 (66%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Arkansas State Red Wolves)	-6.5
Total	53

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Sep 20, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State?: Arkansas State Red Wolves won 17-14. Maiden picked Arkansas State Red Wolves at 60% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 60% to 65% have won 41 of 62 college football games, 66%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Arkansas State Red Wolves hosting Kennesaw State Owls. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.