Kent State Golden Flashes at Sacramento State Hornets — result and pick review
Result
✗ Pick wrongKent State Golden Flashes 10, Sacramento State Hornets 31
Our pick missed: Kent State Golden Flashes lost 10-31. We had them at 58%, and it stays on the record.
Kent State Golden Flashes, 58% to win. We project them by 3.2.
The numbers
| Our pick | Kent State Golden Flashes |
| Chance they win | 58% |
| Our projected spread (Kent State Golden Flashes) | -3.2 |
| Our projected score (Kent State Golden Flashes first) | 27-24 |
| Projected total | 50.4 |
| Our picks at 55% to 60% confidence | 32-16 (67%) |
That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.
We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.
Market average
| Spread (Kent State Golden Flashes) | -7 |
| Total | 46.5 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Oct 25, 2026, 3:03 PM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Kent State vs Sacramento State?
- Sacramento State Hornets won 31-10. Maiden picked Kent State Golden Flashes at 58% to win, published before kickoff, so the call missed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
- Picks we've made between 55% to 60% have won 32 of 48 college football games, 67%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
- Where does the Kent State vs Sacramento State win probability come from?
- We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Sacramento State Hornets hosting Kent State Golden Flashes. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.