Who won Louisville vs Ole Miss?

Ole Miss Rebels won 41-38. Maiden picked Ole Miss Rebels at 68% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 65% to 70% have won 35 of 51 college football games, 69%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Louisville vs Ole Miss win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for the neutral site, where neither team has home field. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 1 · Neutral site · Sep 6, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC

Louisville Cardinals vs Ole Miss Rebels — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Ole Miss Rebels 41, Louisville Cardinals 38

Our pick landed: Ole Miss Rebels won 41-38. We had them at 68%.

Ole Miss Rebels, 68% to win. We project them by 7.7.

The numbers

Our pick	Ole Miss Rebels
Chance they win	68%
Our projected spread (Ole Miss Rebels)	-7.7
Our projected score (Ole Miss Rebels first)	32-24
Projected total	56
Our picks at 65% to 70% confidence	35-16 (69%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Ole Miss Rebels)	-6.5
Total	55

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Louisville vs Ole Miss?: Ole Miss Rebels won 41-38. Maiden picked Ole Miss Rebels at 68% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 65% to 70% have won 35 of 51 college football games, 69%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Louisville vs Ole Miss win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for the neutral site, where neither team has home field. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.