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Week 8 ·

Massachusetts Minutemen at UConn Huskies — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

UConn Huskies 35, Massachusetts Minutemen 16

Our pick landed: UConn Huskies won 35-16. We had them at 90%.

UConn Huskies, 90% to win. We project them by 21.8.

The numbers

Our pickUConn Huskies
Chance they win90%
Our projected spread (UConn Huskies)-21.8
Our projected score (UConn Huskies first)38-17
Projected total54.9
Our picks at 90% to 95% confidence31-2 (94%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (UConn Huskies)-12.5
Total53.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Oct 18, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Massachusetts vs UConn?
UConn Huskies won 35-16. Maiden picked UConn Huskies at 90% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
Picks we've made between 90% to 95% have won 31 of 33 college football games, 94%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Massachusetts vs UConn win probability come from?
We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with UConn Huskies hosting Massachusetts Minutemen. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?
No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.