Miami Hurricanes at Stanford Cardinal — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightMiami Hurricanes 45, Stanford Cardinal 6
Our pick landed: Miami Hurricanes won 45-6. We had them at 91%.
Miami Hurricanes, 91% to win. We project them by 21.9.
The numbers
| Our pick | Miami Hurricanes |
| Chance they win | 91% |
| Our projected spread (Miami Hurricanes) | -21.9 |
| Our projected score (Miami Hurricanes first) | 36-14 |
| Projected total | 50.8 |
The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.
Market average
| Spread (Miami Hurricanes) | -24 |
| Total | 48 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Sep 4, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Miami vs Stanford?
- Miami Hurricanes won 45-6. Maiden picked Miami Hurricanes at 91% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- Where does the Miami vs Stanford win probability come from?
- We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Stanford Cardinal hosting Miami Hurricanes. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.