Miami Hurricanes at Stanford Cardinal — result and pick review
Result
✓ Pick rightMiami Hurricanes 45, Stanford Cardinal 6
Our pick landed: Miami Hurricanes won 45-6. We had them at 91%.
Miami Hurricanes, 91% to win. We project them by 21.9.
The numbers
| Our pick | Miami Hurricanes |
| Chance they win | 91% |
| Our projected spread (Miami Hurricanes) | -21.9 |
| Our projected score (Miami Hurricanes first) | 36-14 |
| Projected total | 50.8 |
| Our picks at 90% to 95% confidence | 31-2 (94%) |
That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.
We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.
Market average
| Spread (Miami Hurricanes) | -24 |
| Total | 48 |
The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.
Prediction published Sep 4, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
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Frequently asked questions
- Who won Miami vs Stanford?
- Miami Hurricanes won 45-6. Maiden picked Miami Hurricanes at 91% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
- How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?
- Picks we've made between 90% to 95% have won 31 of 33 college football games, 94%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
- Where does the Miami vs Stanford win probability come from?
- We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Stanford Cardinal hosting Miami Hurricanes. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
- Is this betting advice?
- No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.