Who won Miami (OH) vs Pittsburgh?

Pittsburgh Panthers won 59-14. Maiden picked Pittsburgh Panthers at 80% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.

Where does the Miami (OH) vs Pittsburgh win probability come from?

We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Pittsburgh Panthers hosting Miami (OH) RedHawks. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026, 4:30 PM UTC

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Pittsburgh Panthers — result and pick review

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Result

✓ Pick right

Pittsburgh Panthers 59, Miami (OH) RedHawks 14

Our pick landed: Pittsburgh Panthers won 59-14. We had them at 80%.

Pittsburgh Panthers, 80% to win. We project them by 14.2.

The numbers

Our pick	Pittsburgh Panthers
Chance they win	80%
Our projected spread (Pittsburgh Panthers)	-14.2
Our projected score (Pittsburgh Panthers first)	33-19
Projected total	51.4

The win probability is the graded call. The projected spread, score and total come from the same model, and they beat a naive baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads here as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not a market’s — the market consensus is shown separately, and labelled, wherever we have it.

Market average

Spread (Pittsburgh Panthers)	-16.5
Total	47.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Prediction published Aug 22, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Miami (OH) vs Pittsburgh?: Pittsburgh Panthers won 59-14. Maiden picked Pittsburgh Panthers at 80% to win, published before kickoff, so the call landed. Either way it stays on our public record.
Where does the Miami (OH) vs Pittsburgh win probability come from?: We fit power ratings to eleven seasons of college football results, blend them with published efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home advantage, with Pittsburgh Panthers hosting Miami (OH) RedHawks. The win-probability model is checked against more than six thousand out-of-sample games. No sportsbook line goes into it, and none appears on this page.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.